Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,411.67
Current Value
$13,023.09
Period P&L
$-388.58
Max Drawdown
-29.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+11.63%
Worst Trade
-17.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,717.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-388.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-388.58
Gross Return
-2.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $13,411.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $54.35 246 $13,370.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:05pm ET $59.80 246 $14,710.80 $14,752.37 +$1,340.70
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $57.25 257 $14,714.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $63.42 257 $16,300.22 $16,338.52 +$1,586.15
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $46.55 350 $16,292.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $44.17 350 $15,457.75 $15,503.77 $-834.75
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:05am ET $43.45 356 $15,468.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $40.91 356 $14,563.96 $14,599.53 $-904.24
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $45.42 321 $14,578.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:15am ET $43.09 321 $13,831.89 $13,853.04 $-746.49
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:35am ET $51.65 268 $13,843.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $48.44 268 $12,981.92 $12,991.42 $-861.62
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:10am ET $49.22 263 $12,944.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $46.51 263 $12,230.82 $12,277.37 $-714.05
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $50.90 241 $12,266.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $56.19 241 $13,540.59 $13,551.05 +$1,273.68
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $57.40 236 $13,545.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $54.32 236 $12,819.52 $12,824.92 $-726.13
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $48.35 265 $12,814.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.95 265 $10,586.75 $10,597.60 $-2,227.32
(-17.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $36.37 291 $10,583.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $40.06 291 $11,656.01 $11,669.94 +$1,072.34
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $39.97 291 $11,631.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $44.62 291 $12,984.42 $13,023.09 +$1,353.15
(+11.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,023.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,023.09
Total Return: +30.23%
Back to Momo Momentum