Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 24.8/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,341.48
Current Value
$13,946.70
Period P&L
$-4,394.77
Max Drawdown
-35.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-5.68%
Avg Trade Return
-2.12%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$333,208.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,394.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,394.77
Gross Return
-23.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $18,341.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $15.70 1,121 $17,599.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $14.91 1,121 $16,714.11 $16,721.63 $-885.59
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $16.10 1,038 $16,716.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $17.74 1,038 $18,414.12 $18,418.76 +$1,697.13
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $17.25 1,067 $18,411.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $16.27 1,067 $17,365.42 $17,373.10 $-1,045.66
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $16.03 1,083 $17,360.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $15.22 1,083 $16,477.85 $16,490.35 $-882.75
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $15.26 1,080 $16,480.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $16.82 1,080 $18,165.60 $18,175.15 +$1,684.80
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $18.32 992 $18,168.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $17.35 992 $17,216.16 $17,222.83 $-952.32
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $17.33 993 $17,208.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET $16.44 993 $16,329.88 $16,344.02 $-878.81
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $16.51 989 $16,328.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $15.63 989 $15,458.07 $15,473.70 $-870.32
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:00am ET $16.75 923 $15,464.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET $15.91 923 $14,689.54 $14,698.38 $-775.32
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $15.84 928 $14,694.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET $15.02 928 $13,943.20 $13,946.70 $-751.68
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,946.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,946.70
Total Return: +39.47%
Back to Momo Momentum