Compendium › Momo Momentum › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+27.26%
Last 6 Months Return
$31,635.62
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$24,859.66
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:18:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
9.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 66.1/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 49.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,859.66
Current Value
$31,635.62
Period P&L
$6,775.96
Max Drawdown
-35.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.89

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+11.08%
Worst Trade
-6.16%
Avg Trade Return
+6.49%
Avg Hold Time
9.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,788.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,775.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,775.96
Gross Return
+27.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $24,859.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $66.11 376 $24,859.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 376 $23,327.42 $23,327.84 $-1,531.82
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $66.50 350 $23,275.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $73.87 350 $25,854.50 $25,907.34 +$2,579.50
(+11.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17d held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $69.89 370 $25,859.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.95 370 $28,471.50 $28,519.54 +$2,612.20
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET $56.69 503 $28,512.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $62.88 503 $31,628.64 $31,635.62 +$3,116.08
(+10.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,635.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,635.62
Total Return: +216.36%
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