Compendium › Momo Momentum › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-20.77%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,734.07
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$13,547.29
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 23, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 16.2/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 9.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,547.29
Current Value
$10,734.07
Period P&L
$-2,813.23
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-41.68

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-5.03%
Worst Trade
-5.36%
Avg Trade Return
-5.15%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$94,438.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,813.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,813.23
Gross Return
-20.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $13,547.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $383.65 34 $13,044.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $364.36 34 $12,388.24 $12,570.31 $-655.86
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 34 $12,370.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.28 34 $11,739.52 $11,939.27 $-631.04
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $423.94 28 $11,870.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $402.28 28 $11,263.84 $11,332.79 $-606.48
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET $414.08 27 $11,180.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $391.91 27 $10,581.57 $10,734.07 $-598.72
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,734.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$734.07
Total Return: +7.34%
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