Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.2/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
10.8/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 40.8/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,329
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
527 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,151.05
Current Value
$11,890.03
Total P&L
$-261.04
Max Drawdown
-8.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-8.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
18.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$226,784.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-261.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-261.04
Gross Return
-2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 527 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $12,151.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2024 9:30am ET $911.93 13 $11,855.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET $882.76 13 $11,475.88 $11,880.14 $-379.21
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:35am ET $945.53 12 $11,346.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET $968.65 12 $11,623.84 $12,157.62 +$277.48
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $974.20 12 $11,690.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $951.39 12 $11,416.62 $11,883.84 $-273.78
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 9:55am ET $981.99 12 $11,783.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2025 9:55am ET $1,035.70 12 $12,428.40 $12,528.36 +$644.52
(+5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2025 9:55am ET $1,027.86 12 $12,334.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 12:10pm ET $943.85 12 $11,326.14 $11,520.24 $-1,008.12
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET $978.33 11 $10,761.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET $978.00 11 $10,758.00 $11,516.67 $-3.58
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $1,004.08 11 $11,044.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $1,013.86 11 $11,152.46 $11,624.25 +$107.58
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $976.50 11 $10,741.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $973.74 11 $10,711.16 $11,593.91 $-30.34
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $938.54 12 $11,262.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $945.14 12 $11,341.68 $11,673.11 +$79.20
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $977.86 11 $10,756.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $997.58 11 $10,973.38 $11,890.03 +$216.92
(+2.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,890.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,890.03
Total Return: +18.90%
Back to Momo Momentum