DKNG Momo Momentum's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 40 trades executed
-17.72%
2 Years Return
$9,806.33
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$11,917.63
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
7.0/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 5.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-15.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,947
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,917.63
Current Value
$9,806.33
Total P&L
$-2,111.28
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
15 /
18
Best Trade
+13.76%
Worst Trade
-9.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$751,208.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,111.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,111.28
Gross Return
-17.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.72%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,917.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2024 1:40pm ET | $38.05 | 304 | $11,567.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 1:35pm ET | $41.87 | 304 | $12,728.48 | $12,750.58 |
+$1,161.28 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 1:35pm ET | $41.17 | 309 | $12,721.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 11:05am ET | $37.78 | 309 | $11,674.02 | $11,703.07 |
$-1,047.51 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2024 11:05am ET | $37.84 | 309 | $11,692.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2024 11:05am ET | $37.17 | 309 | $11,485.53 | $11,496.04 |
$-207.03 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $41.78 | 275 | $11,488.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $44.18 | 275 | $12,149.50 | $12,157.42 |
+$661.38 (+5.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $43.48 | 279 | $12,129.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 13, 2024 10:50am ET | $39.86 | 279 | $11,120.94 | $11,148.80 |
$-1,008.61 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.52 | 268 | $11,126.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.73 | 268 | $11,451.64 | $11,474.42 |
+$325.62 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $43.74 | 262 | $11,459.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.76 | 262 | $13,037.15 | $13,051.69 |
+$1,577.27 (+13.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.03 | 246 | $13,044.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2025 10:05am ET | $48.69 | 246 | $11,977.74 | $11,985.28 |
$-1,066.41 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $48.12 | 249 | $11,981.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $44.19 | 249 | $11,002.07 | $11,005.46 |
$-979.81 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:55am ET | $42.63 | 258 | $10,998.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $39.18 | 258 | $10,108.44 | $10,115.36 |
$-890.10 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.65 | 300 | $10,095.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 9:50am ET | $37.13 | 300 | $11,137.50 | $11,157.86 |
+$1,042.50 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:55am ET | $38.07 | 293 | $11,154.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $34.97 | 293 | $10,244.75 | $10,248.10 |
$-909.76 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.09 | 292 | $10,246.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.21 | 292 | $10,863.86 | $10,865.68 |
+$617.58 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $38.26 | 283 | $10,827.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 10:05am ET | $42.16 | 283 | $11,931.28 | $11,969.38 |
+$1,103.70 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $43.13 | 277 | $11,947.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $44.34 | 277 | $12,282.18 | $12,304.55 |
+$335.17 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 10:10am ET | $43.93 | 280 | $12,300.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $44.32 | 280 | $12,409.60 | $12,413.75 |
+$109.20 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 10:10am ET | $45.08 | 275 | $12,397.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $47.51 | 275 | $13,065.25 | $13,082.00 |
+$668.25 (+5.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $48.21 | 271 | $13,064.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.51 | 271 | $11,789.86 | $11,806.94 |
$-1,275.06 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.91 | 358 | $11,779.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.20 | 358 | $12,959.60 | $12,986.55 |
+$1,179.61 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.26 | 368 | $12,975.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.55 | 368 | $13,082.40 | $13,093.27 |
+$106.72 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.85 | 355 | $13,081.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.89 | 355 | $12,029.18 | $12,041.45 |
$-1,051.83 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $22.41 | 537 | $12,034.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $21.23 | 537 | $11,400.51 | $11,407.79 |
$-633.66 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.24 | 451 | $11,383.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $23.98 | 451 | $10,812.73 | $10,837.28 |
$-570.51 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.44 | 409 | $10,813.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.08 | 409 | $10,255.68 | $10,279.00 |
$-558.28 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.07 | 410 | $10,276.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.79 | 410 | $9,753.90 | $9,756.25 |
$-522.75 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.14 | 373 | $9,750.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.82 | 373 | $9,256.00 | $9,262.03 |
$-494.22 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.41 | 350 | $9,241.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $29.11 | 350 | $10,188.50 | $10,208.78 |
+$946.75 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $24.40 | 418 | $10,197.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.96 | 418 | $11,269.28 | $11,280.95 |
+$1,072.17 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $24.24 | 465 | $11,269.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.72 | 465 | $10,564.80 | $10,576.47 |
$-704.48 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.06 | 458 | $10,561.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $25.37 | 458 | $11,619.41 | $11,634.40 |
+$1,057.93 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $25.80 | 450 | $11,610.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.26 | 450 | $10,917.00 | $10,941.40 |
$-693.00 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.73 | 442 | $10,930.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.43 | 442 | $10,356.06 | $10,366.58 |
$-574.82 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $23.25 | 445 | $10,348.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $22.00 | 445 | $9,787.78 | $9,806.33 |
$-560.25 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,806.33
Net Profit/Loss:
$-193.67
Total Return:
-1.94%