Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:54:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.8/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
8.1/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 59.3/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 29.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,634
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
515 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,075.84
Current Value
$15,386.49
Total P&L
$4,310.66
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+10.47%
Worst Trade
-8.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.38%
Avg Hold Time
17d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$380,127.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,310.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,310.66
Gross Return
+38.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 515 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,075.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2024 9:40am ET $83.54 132 $11,027.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2024 9:40am ET $84.40 132 $11,140.80 $11,151.08 +$113.52
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:35am ET $88.09 126 $11,099.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $97.27 126 $12,255.39 $12,307.13 +$1,156.05
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 9:40am ET $96.92 126 $12,211.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 12:35pm ET $89.10 126 $11,226.60 $11,321.81 $-985.32
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 9:35am ET $92.86 121 $11,236.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 9:35am ET $90.81 121 $10,988.01 $11,073.76 $-248.05
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET $97.83 113 $11,054.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2025 3:40pm ET $107.65 113 $12,164.45 $12,183.73 +$1,109.97
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2025 9:30am ET $110.28 110 $12,131.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 10:30am ET $114.40 110 $12,583.45 $12,635.87 +$452.14
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 10:30am ET $112.69 112 $12,621.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:30am ET $113.03 112 $12,659.36 $12,673.95 +$38.08
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $110.75 114 $12,625.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $110.11 114 $12,551.97 $12,600.42 $-73.53
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $113.00 111 $12,543.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET $120.68 111 $13,395.48 $13,452.90 +$852.48
(+6.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $119.06 112 $13,334.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $112.50 112 $12,599.44 $12,717.62 $-735.28
(-5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $117.31 108 $12,669.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $121.25 108 $13,094.54 $13,142.67 +$425.06
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $122.08 107 $13,062.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $126.84 107 $13,571.61 $13,651.73 +$509.05
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 12:35pm ET $124.20 109 $13,537.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $124.51 109 $13,571.32 $13,685.24 +$33.52
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $134.16 102 $13,684.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.20 102 $15,116.40 $15,117.32 +$1,432.08
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $149.01 101 $15,050.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.68 101 $15,319.18 $15,386.49 +$269.17
(+1.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,386.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,386.49
Total Return: +53.86%
Back to Momo Momentum