HOOD Momo Momentum's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 67 trades executed
+204.23%
2 Years Return
$53,713.32
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$17,655.75
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
66
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.9/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
73.2/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 66.5
30-Day Momentum
39
+15.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,338
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$17,655.75
Current Value
$53,713.32
Total P&L
$36,057.58
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
54
Winners / Losers
29 /
25
Best Trade
+14.86%
Worst Trade
-8.73%
Avg Trade Return
+2.50%
Avg Hold Time
7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$4,439,088.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$36,057.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$36,057.58
Gross Return
+204.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+204.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $17,655.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 11:35am ET | $22.32 | 777 | $17,342.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $22.97 | 777 | $17,847.69 | $17,865.53 |
+$505.05 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 9:45am ET | $24.49 | 729 | $17,849.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 10:50am ET | $26.94 | 729 | $19,639.26 | $19,655.23 |
+$1,789.70 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 10:55am ET | $26.25 | 748 | $19,635.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 10:25am ET | $23.99 | 748 | $17,945.34 | $17,964.82 |
$-1,690.41 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET | $29.42 | 610 | $17,946.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $33.06 | 610 | $20,166.60 | $20,185.22 |
+$2,220.40 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 9:55am ET | $33.55 | 601 | $20,160.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $37.80 | 601 | $22,718.40 | $22,743.08 |
+$2,557.86 (+12.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $36.38 | 625 | $22,737.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 12:50pm ET | $40.07 | 625 | $25,046.06 | $25,051.64 |
+$2,308.56 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2024 12:55pm ET | $39.88 | 628 | $25,044.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $36.64 | 628 | $23,009.92 | $23,016.86 |
$-2,034.78 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:40am ET | $36.35 | 633 | $23,009.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2024 12:20pm ET | $40.14 | 633 | $25,408.62 | $25,415.93 |
+$2,399.07 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 12:35pm ET | $38.98 | 652 | $25,414.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $42.97 | 652 | $28,019.24 | $28,020.21 |
+$2,604.28 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $39.29 | 713 | $28,013.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $43.23 | 713 | $30,825.06 | $30,831.50 |
+$2,811.29 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $46.06 | 669 | $30,810.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $50.68 | 669 | $33,901.58 | $33,922.28 |
+$3,090.78 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $50.30 | 674 | $33,902.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2025 12:50pm ET | $55.43 | 674 | $37,359.82 | $37,379.90 |
+$3,457.62 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $56.32 | 663 | $37,340.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $64.69 | 663 | $42,889.93 | $42,929.67 |
+$5,549.77 (+14.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.09 | 691 | $42,902.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $56.78 | 691 | $39,234.70 | $39,262.19 |
$-3,667.48 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $56.93 | 689 | $39,224.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 2:20pm ET | $52.32 | 689 | $36,048.48 | $36,085.90 |
$-3,176.29 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $48.50 | 744 | $36,084.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2025 12:55pm ET | $44.60 | 744 | $33,178.68 | $33,180.58 |
$-2,905.32 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $40.34 | 822 | $33,159.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $44.59 | 822 | $36,652.98 | $36,674.08 |
+$3,493.50 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 10:45am ET | $44.30 | 827 | $36,632.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:35pm ET | $40.65 | 827 | $33,617.63 | $33,658.92 |
$-3,015.16 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $48.92 | 688 | $33,656.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $53.87 | 688 | $37,062.01 | $37,063.97 |
+$3,405.05 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $54.35 | 681 | $37,012.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $60.74 | 681 | $41,363.94 | $41,415.56 |
+$4,351.59 (+11.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $63.14 | 655 | $41,356.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 10:30am ET | $57.84 | 655 | $37,885.72 | $37,944.58 |
$-3,470.98 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $61.25 | 619 | $37,913.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.83 | 619 | $41,986.77 | $42,017.60 |
+$4,073.02 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $69.62 | 603 | $41,980.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 1:30pm ET | $76.74 | 603 | $46,275.97 | $46,312.71 |
+$4,295.11 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $70.88 | 653 | $46,284.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $78.16 | 653 | $51,038.48 | $51,066.55 |
+$4,753.84 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 2:30pm ET | $78.83 | 647 | $51,003.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.74 | 647 | $56,120.78 | $56,184.00 |
+$5,117.45 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $96.71 | 580 | $56,091.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:40pm ET | $106.45 | 580 | $61,743.73 | $61,835.93 |
+$5,651.93 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $107.57 | 574 | $61,745.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $98.94 | 574 | $56,791.56 | $56,882.31 |
$-4,953.62 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $100.98 | 563 | $56,851.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $111.16 | 563 | $62,581.95 | $62,612.52 |
+$5,730.21 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $116.25 | 538 | $62,542.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $106.71 | 538 | $57,409.98 | $57,480.00 |
$-5,132.52 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $118.70 | 484 | $57,450.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:25am ET | $130.77 | 484 | $63,290.26 | $63,319.46 |
+$5,839.46 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $139.89 | 452 | $63,232.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $127.68 | 452 | $57,711.36 | $57,798.51 |
$-5,520.95 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $133.93 | 431 | $57,723.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:20am ET | $122.89 | 431 | $52,965.25 | $53,039.92 |
$-4,758.58 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $140.56 | 377 | $52,991.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET | $129.18 | 377 | $48,700.86 | $48,749.66 |
$-4,290.26 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $134.14 | 363 | $48,692.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $123.20 | 363 | $44,721.60 | $44,778.44 |
$-3,971.22 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $119.21 | 375 | $44,703.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.11 | 375 | $43,541.25 | $43,615.94 |
$-1,162.50 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.06 | 565 | $43,538.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $73.07 | 565 | $41,286.02 | $41,363.06 |
$-2,252.88 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $82.95 | 498 | $41,309.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $78.74 | 498 | $39,212.52 | $39,266.53 |
$-2,096.53 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $73.77 | 532 | $39,248.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $69.90 | 532 | $37,186.80 | $37,205.25 |
$-2,061.28 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $69.11 | 538 | $37,181.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.96 | 538 | $41,407.17 | $41,431.29 |
+$4,226.04 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.24 | 550 | $41,382.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.36 | 550 | $45,848.55 | $45,897.84 |
+$4,466.55 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 509 | $45,860.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $85.58 | 509 | $43,558.44 | $43,595.38 |
$-2,302.46 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $78.10 | 558 | $43,579.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $74.15 | 558 | $41,375.70 | $41,391.28 |
$-2,204.10 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $79.17 | 522 | $41,326.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $88.14 | 522 | $46,006.47 | $46,071.01 |
+$4,679.73 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $84.00 | 548 | $46,032.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $79.79 | 548 | $43,724.92 | $43,763.93 |
$-2,307.08 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $95.32 | 459 | $43,751.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $105.14 | 459 | $48,259.26 | $48,271.31 |
+$4,507.38 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $111.35 | 433 | $48,214.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $105.47 | 433 | $45,670.67 | $45,727.44 |
$-2,543.88 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $105.53 | 433 | $45,692.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $117.67 | 433 | $50,948.95 | $50,984.06 |
+$5,256.62 (+11.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $105.68 | 482 | $50,940.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $100.30 | 482 | $48,344.60 | $48,388.49 |
$-2,595.57 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $93.45 | 517 | $48,313.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.31 | 517 | $45,139.27 | $45,214.11 |
$-3,174.38 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $99.93 | 452 | $45,168.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.85 | 452 | $41,969.42 | $42,015.17 |
$-3,198.94 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $96.79 | 434 | $42,006.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $107.36 | 434 | $46,594.24 | $46,602.55 |
+$4,587.38 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $110.25 | 422 | $46,525.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $104.74 | 422 | $44,198.17 | $44,275.22 |
$-2,327.33 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.58 | 389 | $44,182.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.07 | 389 | $48,650.29 | $48,742.89 |
+$4,467.67 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $108.39 | 449 | $48,667.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $119.46 | 449 | $53,637.54 | $53,713.32 |
+$4,970.43 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$53,713.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$43,713.32
Total Return:
+437.13%