ORCL Momo Momentum's Analysis
2024-01-31 14:35:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
-20.12%
2 Years Return
$9,317.97
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$11,664.37
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.1/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
9.5/100
× Confidence 0.82
= 7.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,368
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,664.37
Current Value
$9,317.97
Total P&L
$-2,346.40
Max Drawdown
-28.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
34
Winners / Losers
13 /
21
Best Trade
+15.46%
Worst Trade
-9.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$761,439.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,346.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,346.40
Gross Return
-20.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,664.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 12:25pm ET | $167.19 | 70 | $11,703.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2024 12:25pm ET | $171.38 | 70 | $11,996.60 | $12,093.47 |
+$293.48 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 12:45pm ET | $173.14 | 69 | $11,946.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2024 12:45pm ET | $172.54 | 69 | $11,905.25 | $12,052.06 |
$-41.41 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 8, 2024 9:35am ET | $187.53 | 64 | $12,001.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $184.90 | 64 | $11,833.28 | $11,883.42 |
$-168.64 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 12:25pm ET | $181.96 | 65 | $11,827.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $166.79 | 65 | $10,841.35 | $10,897.44 |
$-985.99 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $183.84 | 59 | $10,846.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $167.90 | 59 | $9,906.10 | $9,957.01 |
$-940.43 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $172.96 | 57 | $9,858.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $169.71 | 57 | $9,673.47 | $9,771.76 |
$-185.25 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $173.03 | 56 | $9,689.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $157.52 | 56 | $8,821.12 | $8,903.04 |
$-868.72 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $152.27 | 58 | $8,831.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $158.70 | 58 | $9,204.60 | $9,276.27 |
+$373.23 (+4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $155.69 | 59 | $9,185.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $171.32 | 59 | $10,107.88 | $10,198.44 |
+$922.17 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 11:00am ET | $173.32 | 58 | $10,052.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $192.74 | 58 | $11,178.92 | $11,324.54 |
+$1,126.10 (+11.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $204.05 | 55 | $11,222.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $224.68 | 55 | $12,357.40 | $12,459.47 |
+$1,134.93 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $220.58 | 56 | $12,352.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.62 | 56 | $13,642.72 | $13,749.63 |
+$1,290.17 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $248.20 | 55 | $13,651.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $254.31 | 55 | $13,987.05 | $14,085.68 |
+$336.05 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $248.77 | 56 | $13,930.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:05am ET | $228.54 | 56 | $12,798.25 | $12,953.09 |
$-1,132.59 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $322.23 | 40 | $12,889.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $294.81 | 40 | $11,792.24 | $11,856.13 |
$-1,096.96 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $302.15 | 39 | $11,783.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $277.10 | 39 | $10,806.90 | $10,879.18 |
$-976.95 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 11:10am ET | $286.35 | 37 | $10,594.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET | $318.80 | 37 | $11,795.42 | $12,079.83 |
+$1,200.65 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.15 | 58 | $11,898.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.26 | 58 | $10,919.08 | $11,100.06 |
$-979.77 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $185.00 | 60 | $11,100.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.46 | 60 | $10,047.30 | $10,047.36 |
$-1,052.70 (-9.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.00 | 60 | $9,960.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $157.04 | 60 | $9,422.53 | $9,509.89 |
$-537.47 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 62 | $9,362.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $143.44 | 62 | $8,893.28 | $9,041.17 |
$-468.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.28 | 62 | $8,945.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.59 | 62 | $10,328.58 | $10,424.39 |
+$1,383.22 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $171.10 | 60 | $10,266.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $188.92 | 60 | $11,335.20 | $11,493.59 |
+$1,069.20 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $170.36 | 67 | $11,414.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $187.94 | 67 | $12,591.98 | $12,671.45 |
+$1,177.86 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $196.54 | 64 | $12,578.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $186.22 | 64 | $11,918.08 | $12,010.65 |
$-660.80 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $200.30 | 59 | $11,817.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $220.66 | 59 | $13,018.94 | $13,211.60 |
+$1,200.95 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:40am ET | $243.65 | 54 | $13,157.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $231.41 | 54 | $12,496.41 | $12,550.64 |
$-660.96 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $191.43 | 65 | $12,442.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.56 | 65 | $11,801.40 | $11,909.09 |
$-641.55 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $147.46 | 80 | $11,797.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $139.68 | 80 | $11,174.80 | $11,286.69 |
$-622.40 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $121.63 | 92 | $11,189.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $115.22 | 92 | $10,600.24 | $10,696.97 |
$-589.72 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $126.54 | 84 | $10,629.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $139.90 | 84 | $11,751.18 | $11,818.37 |
+$1,121.40 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.13 | 77 | $11,791.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.39 | 77 | $11,041.03 | $11,068.39 |
$-749.98 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $153.40 | 72 | $11,045.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.48 | 72 | $10,186.56 | $10,209.79 |
$-858.60 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $149.93 | 68 | $10,195.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.82 | 68 | $9,303.76 | $9,317.97 |
$-891.82 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,317.97
Net Profit/Loss:
$-682.03
Total Return:
-6.82%