Compendium › Momo Momentum › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 18 trades executed

+18.29%
2 Years Return
$11,396.83
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,634.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 18.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
505 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,634.62
Current Value
$11,396.83
Total P&L
$1,762.23
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+10.23%
Worst Trade
-8.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.37%
Avg Hold Time
19.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$271,172.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,762.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,762.23
Gross Return
+18.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 505 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,634.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:40am ET $531.23 18 $9,562.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:40am ET $542.09 18 $9,757.62 $9,830.13 +$195.53
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 9:45am ET $558.74 17 $9,498.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET $595.19 17 $10,118.23 $10,449.78 +$619.65
(+6.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 9:45am ET $587.57 17 $9,988.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET $538.64 17 $9,156.88 $9,617.97 $-831.81
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET $424.46 22 $9,338.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $422.45 22 $9,293.90 $9,573.75 $-44.22
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:35am ET $469.94 20 $9,398.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 9:35am ET $466.59 20 $9,331.70 $9,506.65 $-67.10
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 9:35am ET $480.44 19 $9,128.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $486.55 19 $9,244.45 $9,622.74 +$116.09
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $473.66 20 $9,473.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET $469.16 20 $9,383.20 $9,532.74 $-90.00
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET $537.65 17 $9,139.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:35am ET $568.44 17 $9,663.48 $10,056.26 +$523.52
(+5.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:40am ET $575.36 17 $9,781.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $586.78 17 $9,975.18 $10,250.31 +$194.05
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $589.10 17 $10,014.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET $586.51 17 $9,970.73 $10,206.34 $-43.97
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET $626.14 16 $10,018.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET $627.91 16 $10,046.56 $10,234.66 +$28.32
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $625.31 16 $10,004.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $574.57 16 $9,193.12 $9,422.82 $-811.84
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $476.02 19 $9,044.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $524.39 19 $9,963.41 $10,341.85 +$919.03
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $573.00 18 $10,314.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET $631.61 18 $11,368.98 $11,396.83 +$1,054.98
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,396.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,396.83
Total Return: +13.97%
Back to Momo Momentum