Compendium › Momo Momentum › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+22.63%
Year to Date Return
$37,360.20
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$30,465.71
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.7/35
Total Return
20.3/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 63.6/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 58.5

30-Day Momentum

9
+3.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,096
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$30,465.71
Current Value
$37,360.20
Period P&L
$6,894.50
Max Drawdown
-30.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+15.00%
Worst Trade
-8.36%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,771,833.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,894.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,894.50
Gross Return
+22.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $30,465.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $117.66 258 $30,356.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $107.82 258 $27,817.59 $27,927.01 $-2,538.69
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 234 $27,899.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.78 234 $29,198.52 $29,225.66 +$1,298.65
(+4.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $128.59 227 $29,189.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $122.16 227 $27,729.53 $27,765.26 $-1,460.40
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 201 $27,703.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $152.91 201 $30,735.91 $30,797.34 +$3,032.08
(+10.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $145.30 211 $30,658.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.95 211 $34,171.45 $34,310.49 +$3,513.15
(+11.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET $186.49 183 $34,127.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $205.57 183 $37,620.22 $37,803.04 +$3,492.55
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $229.64 164 $37,660.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 164 $35,637.20 $35,779.28 $-2,023.76
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $214.01 167 $35,739.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:25am ET $202.41 167 $33,802.47 $33,842.08 $-1,937.20
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 147 $33,650.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:05am ET $217.21 147 $31,929.14 $32,120.36 $-1,721.72
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $217.65 147 $31,994.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $206.01 147 $30,283.47 $30,409.28 $-1,711.08
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $219.50 138 $30,291.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:20am ET $208.32 138 $28,748.85 $28,867.13 $-1,542.15
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $254.39 113 $28,746.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $281.07 113 $31,760.91 $31,881.97 +$3,014.84
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:55am ET $302.70 105 $31,783.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $333.50 105 $35,017.51 $35,115.98 +$3,234.01
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 88 $34,816.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $372.29 88 $32,761.52 $33,061.18 $-2,054.80
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $317.58 104 $33,028.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $353.54 104 $36,768.16 $36,801.02 +$3,739.84
(+11.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $396.15 92 $36,445.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $438.13 92 $40,307.96 $40,663.18 +$3,862.16
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:35am ET $330.17 123 $40,610.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 123 $37,629.39 $37,682.27 $-2,980.91
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $325.53 115 $37,435.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $301.93 115 $34,722.52 $34,968.83 $-2,713.44
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $259.00 135 $34,965.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $285.53 135 $38,546.55 $38,550.38 +$3,581.55
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $250.68 153 $38,354.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET $237.97 153 $36,409.41 $36,605.75 $-1,944.63
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $237.20 154 $36,528.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $261.88 154 $40,329.52 $40,406.47 +$3,800.72
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $293.76 137 $40,244.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $276.01 137 $37,813.15 $37,975.18 $-2,431.29
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET $287.30 132 $37,923.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $272.75 132 $36,003.52 $36,055.10 $-1,920.08
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $263.48 136 $35,833.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $250.14 136 $34,019.52 $34,240.89 $-1,814.21
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $255.24 134 $34,201.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 134 $32,478.92 $32,518.32 $-1,722.57
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $258.23 125 $32,279.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $296.97 125 $37,121.25 $37,360.20 +$4,841.88
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $37,360.20
Net Profit/Loss: +$27,360.20
Total Return: +273.60%
Back to Momo Momentum