Compendium › Momo Momentum › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+10.33%
Year to Date Return
$12,795.49
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,491.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 25.1/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 18.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,948
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,491.92
Current Value
$12,795.49
Period P&L
$1,187.45
Max Drawdown
-47.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+10.62%
Worst Trade
-8.06%
Avg Trade Return
+4.20%
Avg Hold Time
11.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$68,498.56
Estimated Fees
$171.25
Gross P&L
$1,187.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,016.20
Gross Return
+10.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.84%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,491.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $93,814.10 0 $11,491.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $86,254.00 0 $10,565.85 $10,510.71 $-981.23
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $68,990.00 0 $10,510.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30pm ET $75,925.10 0 $11,567.28 $11,567.28 +$1,001.38
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.4d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $68,280.50 0 $11,567.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:50pm ET $75,530.50 0 $12,795.49 $12,795.49 +$1,167.30
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,795.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,795.49
Total Return: +27.95%
Back to Momo Momentum