Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,006
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,188.87
Current Value
$10,044.10
Period P&L
$-144.78
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
7 / 13
Best Trade
+13.94%
Worst Trade
-8.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$432,271.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-144.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-144.78
Gross Return
-1.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,188.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $169.91 59 $10,024.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $160.86 59 $9,490.80 $9,654.99 $-533.89
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $171.76 56 $9,618.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $195.70 56 $10,959.20 $10,995.63 +$1,340.64
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:10am ET $205.07 53 $10,868.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $193.65 53 $10,263.45 $10,390.37 $-605.26
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET $167.05 62 $10,357.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 62 $11,466.28 $11,499.55 +$1,109.18
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET $173.53 66 $11,452.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET $191.49 66 $12,638.34 $12,684.91 +$1,185.36
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $208.37 60 $12,502.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $197.95 60 $11,877.00 $12,059.79 $-625.12
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $201.01 59 $11,859.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $190.70 59 $11,251.30 $11,451.50 $-608.29
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:10am ET $206.37 55 $11,350.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:55am ET $195.26 55 $10,739.30 $10,840.45 $-611.05
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $179.92 60 $10,795.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $169.86 60 $10,191.60 $10,236.85 $-603.60
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $155.72 65 $10,121.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 65 $11,154.00 $11,269.05 +$1,032.20
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $171.88 65 $11,172.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $163.27 65 $10,612.55 $10,709.40 $-559.65
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $152.28 70 $10,659.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $170.46 70 $11,932.55 $11,982.35 +$1,272.95
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 68 $11,825.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $162.93 68 $11,079.24 $11,236.39 $-745.96
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $166.67 67 $11,166.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 67 $10,269.76 $10,339.26 $-897.13
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $148.87 69 $10,272.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET $164.00 69 $11,316.00 $11,383.23 +$1,043.97
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.00 62 $11,284.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $172.57 62 $10,699.34 $10,798.57 $-584.66
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $187.78 57 $10,703.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $177.50 57 $10,117.50 $10,212.61 $-585.96
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $181.55 56 $10,166.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $170.90 56 $9,570.12 $9,616.20 $-596.41
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:25am ET $170.88 56 $9,569.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET $188.00 56 $10,528.20 $10,575.26 +$959.06
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET $204.67 51 $10,438.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $194.26 51 $9,907.01 $10,044.10 $-531.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,044.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$44.10
Total Return: +0.44%
Back to Momo Momentum