Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 7.0/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,489
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,703.85
Current Value
$9,806.33
Period P&L
$-2,897.50
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+10.51%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
-1.78%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$305,766.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,897.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,897.50
Gross Return
-22.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $12,703.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $35.26 368 $12,975.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $35.55 368 $13,082.40 $13,093.27 +$106.72
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $36.85 355 $13,081.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $33.89 355 $12,029.18 $12,041.45 $-1,051.83
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET $22.41 537 $12,034.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET $21.23 537 $11,400.51 $11,407.79 $-633.66
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 451 $11,383.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $23.98 451 $10,812.73 $10,837.28 $-570.51
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 409 $10,813.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 409 $10,255.68 $10,279.00 $-558.28
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $25.07 410 $10,276.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.79 410 $9,753.90 $9,756.25 $-522.75
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $26.14 373 $9,750.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $24.82 373 $9,256.00 $9,262.03 $-494.22
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 350 $9,241.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $29.11 350 $10,188.50 $10,208.78 +$946.75
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:55am ET $24.40 418 $10,197.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $26.96 418 $11,269.28 $11,280.95 +$1,072.17
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:00am ET $24.24 465 $11,269.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $22.72 465 $10,564.80 $10,576.47 $-704.48
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET $23.06 458 $10,561.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:30am ET $25.37 458 $11,619.41 $11,634.40 +$1,057.93
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $25.80 450 $11,610.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 450 $10,917.00 $10,941.40 $-693.00
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $24.73 442 $10,930.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.43 442 $10,356.06 $10,366.58 $-574.82
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $23.25 445 $10,348.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:50am ET $22.00 445 $9,787.78 $9,806.33 $-560.25
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,806.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-193.67
Total Return: -1.94%
Back to Momo Momentum