Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,935
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$4,628.97
Current Value
$2,478.19
Period P&L
$-2,371.75
Max Drawdown
-76.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.67

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
2 / 14
Best Trade
+10.67%
Worst Trade
-9.04%
Avg Trade Return
-3.62%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$105,263.27
Estimated Fees
$263.16
Gross P&L
$-2,371.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,634.91
Gross Return
-51.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-56.92%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $4,628.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 7:05pm ET $2.17 2,131 $4,628.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.98 2,131 $4,210.62 $4,188.52 $-440.45
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET $1.96 2,134 $4,188.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.81 2,134 $3,852.89 $3,832.78 $-355.74
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:30am ET $1.35 2,838 $3,832.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:00pm ET $1.28 2,838 $3,640.09 $3,640.09 $-211.37
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:55am ET $1.39 2,620 $3,640.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $1.54 2,620 $4,028.42 $4,028.42 +$369.15
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $1.64 2,451 $4,028.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:15am ET $1.55 2,451 $3,803.71 $3,803.71 $-244.29
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $1.60 2,382 $3,803.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $1.52 2,382 $3,611.93 $3,611.93 $-210.32
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1.59 2,276 $3,611.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 6:30pm ET $1.50 2,276 $3,423.94 $3,423.94 $-205.58
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:50am ET $1.53 2,242 $3,423.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $1.45 2,242 $3,245.70 $3,245.70 $-194.91
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $1.48 2,193 $3,245.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 7:15pm ET $1.41 2,193 $3,081.66 $3,081.66 $-179.86
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $1.30 2,376 $3,081.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 12:20am ET $1.23 2,376 $2,926.03 $2,926.03 $-170.65
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $1.08 2,714 $2,926.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 5:25am ET $1.02 2,714 $2,773.79 $2,773.79 $-166.49
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1.00 2,764 $2,773.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:45am ET $0.9529 2,764 $2,633.40 $2,633.40 $-153.91
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 9:00pm ET $1.02 2,573 $2,633.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2026 11:40pm ET $0.9706 2,573 $2,497.54 $2,497.54 $-148.69
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 9:25am ET $1.04 2,398 $2,497.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:15am ET $1.15 2,398 $2,754.13 $2,754.13 +$243.46
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:20am ET $1.17 2,353 $2,754.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 4:55pm ET $1.11 2,353 $2,615.31 $2,615.31 $-152.25
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $1.17 2,240 $2,615.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $1.11 2,240 $2,478.19 $2,478.19 $-149.85
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,478.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,521.81
Total Return: -75.22%
Back to Momo Momentum