Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 14.4/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,943
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,774.44
Current Value
$10,541.74
Period P&L
$-1,475.06
Max Drawdown
-51.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+11.47%
Worst Trade
-8.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.75%
Avg Hold Time
10.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$193,937.77
Estimated Fees
$484.84
Gross P&L
$-1,475.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,959.90
Gross Return
-12.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.65%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,774.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2025 7:00pm ET $2,975.47 4 $11,796.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:10am ET $3,274.04 4 $12,980.35 $12,918.41 +$1,121.78
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $3,293.54 4 $12,918.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $3,025.30 4 $11,866.28 $11,804.32 $-1,114.09
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $3,001.60 4 $11,804.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $2,757.89 4 $10,845.89 $10,789.26 $-1,015.06
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $2,028.18 5 $10,789.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 6:05pm ET $1,920.16 5 $10,214.63 $10,214.63 $-627.14
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $2,157.63 5 $10,214.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $2,047.90 5 $9,695.15 $9,695.15 $-569.26
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $2,269.56 4 $9,695.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $2,118.52 4 $9,049.93 $9,049.93 $-692.08
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:25am ET $2,026.98 4 $9,049.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 5:05pm ET $2,259.54 4 $10,088.25 $10,088.25 +$990.47
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:10pm ET $2,300.30 4 $10,088.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET $2,542.28 4 $11,149.48 $11,149.48 +$1,008.14
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $2,578.15 4 $11,149.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $2,437.62 4 $10,541.74 $10,541.74 $-661.96
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,541.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$541.74
Total Return: +5.42%
Back to Momo Momentum