Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
3.9/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,172
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,084.73
Current Value
$10,192.47
Period P&L
$-892.26
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+7.45%
Worst Trade
-8.20%
Avg Trade Return
-2.78%
Avg Hold Time
14.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$85,294.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-892.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-892.26
Gross Return
-8.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,084.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $906.72 12 $10,880.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $974.30 12 $11,691.60 $12,220.83 +$810.96
(+7.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $961.69 12 $11,540.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $882.84 12 $10,594.08 $11,274.69 $-946.14
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $916.66 12 $10,999.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $868.87 12 $10,426.44 $10,701.15 $-573.54
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,092.81 9 $9,835.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,036.29 9 $9,326.61 $10,192.47 $-508.68
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,192.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$192.47
Total Return: +1.92%
Back to Momo Momentum