Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:20:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.4/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 58.4/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 31.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,449
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,756.88
Current Value
$17,342.48
Period P&L
$3,585.61
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+15.89%
Worst Trade
-8.05%
Avg Trade Return
+4.07%
Avg Hold Time
15.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,846.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,585.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,585.61
Gross Return
+26.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $13,756.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $300.67 46 $13,830.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $302.66 46 $13,922.36 $14,066.91 +$91.45
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $309.55 45 $13,929.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $284.63 45 $12,808.35 $12,945.51 $-1,121.40
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET $236.41 54 $12,766.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $223.48 54 $12,067.65 $12,247.02 $-698.49
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
57.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $234.90 52 $12,214.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $260.46 52 $13,543.92 $13,576.40 +$1,329.38
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $277.26 48 $13,308.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $321.32 48 $15,423.36 $15,691.28 +$2,114.88
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $261.50 60 $15,690.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:05am ET $289.02 60 $17,341.20 $17,342.48 +$1,651.20
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,342.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,342.48
Total Return: +73.42%
Back to Momo Momentum