Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-14.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,918
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$3,092.48
Current Value
$2,178.26
Period P&L
$-1,019.28
Max Drawdown
-82.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+10.48%
Worst Trade
-8.25%
Avg Trade Return
-2.85%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$53,409.24
Estimated Fees
$133.52
Gross P&L
$-1,019.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,152.80
Gross Return
-32.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.28%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $3,092.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $13.87 223 $3,092.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2026 12:30am ET $12.76 223 $2,844.94 $2,830.10 $-262.33
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2026 12:55am ET $12.79 221 $2,830.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 11:15am ET $11.73 221 $2,596.64 $2,583.07 $-247.03
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $9.06 285 $2,583.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $8.60 285 $2,452.92 $2,452.92 $-142.74
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $9.13 269 $2,452.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET $8.65 269 $2,324.49 $2,324.49 $-140.38
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $9.40 247 $2,324.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 7:00pm ET $8.92 247 $2,206.07 $2,206.07 $-129.74
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $8.27 267 $2,206.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 6:50am ET $7.84 267 $2,092.15 $2,092.15 $-124.66
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:25pm ET $9.60 218 $2,092.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 4:55pm ET $10.61 218 $2,311.51 $2,311.51 +$208.35
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:00pm ET $10.60 218 $2,311.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:40am ET $11.66 218 $2,544.37 $2,544.37 +$220.72
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45am ET $11.60 219 $2,544.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 6:25am ET $11.02 219 $2,416.96 $2,416.96 $-139.81
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 4:50pm ET $13.09 185 $2,416.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $12.42 185 $2,293.43 $2,293.43 $-135.31
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $11.96 192 $2,293.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 13, 2026 4:35am ET $11.36 192 $2,178.26 $2,178.26 $-126.35
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,178.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,821.74
Total Return: -78.22%
Back to Momo Momentum