Compendium › Momo Momentum › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 5 trades in period

-14.97%
Year to Date Return
$2,702.40
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$3,116.54
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,934
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$3,116.54
Current Value
$2,702.40
Period P&L
$-466.47
Max Drawdown
-80.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+11.13%
Worst Trade
-8.14%
Avg Trade Return
-2.48%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$26,920.47
Estimated Fees
$67.30
Gross P&L
$-466.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-533.77
Gross Return
-14.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.13%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $3,116.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2026 7:10pm ET $82.49 38 $3,116.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 8:10am ET $75.78 38 $2,862.94 $2,847.99 $-268.54
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $46.76 61 $2,847.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $44.32 61 $2,699.38 $2,699.38 $-162.48
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 8:55am ET $58.91 46 $2,699.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 11:30am ET $55.96 46 $2,564.20 $2,564.20 $-148.33
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:20am ET $63.68 40 $2,564.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:05pm ET $60.39 40 $2,431.72 $2,431.72 $-144.97
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:50pm ET $65.85 37 $2,431.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:20am ET $73.18 37 $2,702.40 $2,702.40 +$257.85
(+11.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,702.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,297.60
Total Return: -72.98%
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