RIOT Momo Momentum's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+20.65%
Year to Date Return
$17,528.73
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$14,529.19
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
30.4/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 29.6
30-Day Momentum
32
+13.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.7
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,529.19
Current Value
$17,528.73
Period P&L
$2,999.57
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+16.37%
Worst Trade
-9.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,126,425.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,999.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,999.57
Gross Return
+20.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $14,529.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.71 | 869 | $14,520.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.40 | 869 | $15,989.60 | $15,997.77 |
+$1,468.61 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.01 | 888 | $15,992.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $16.57 | 888 | $14,709.72 | $14,715.32 |
$-1,282.45 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $16.63 | 885 | $14,713.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.08 | 885 | $13,345.80 | $13,347.99 |
$-1,367.33 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.66 | 852 | $13,342.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $17.28 | 852 | $14,719.41 | $14,725.08 |
+$1,377.09 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.77 | 878 | $14,724.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.92 | 878 | $13,977.76 | $13,978.78 |
$-746.30 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.35 | 854 | $13,962.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $15.39 | 854 | $13,138.96 | $13,154.84 |
$-823.94 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.07 | 872 | $13,145.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.31 | 872 | $12,482.68 | $12,492.12 |
$-662.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.45 | 808 | $12,483.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $14.67 | 808 | $11,853.44 | $11,861.96 |
$-630.16 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.95 | 850 | $11,857.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $13.06 | 850 | $11,100.92 | $11,105.29 |
$-756.67 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $12.35 | 899 | $11,098.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $13.63 | 899 | $12,253.46 | $12,260.59 |
+$1,155.30 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.49 | 791 | $12,252.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $17.04 | 791 | $13,478.64 | $13,486.64 |
+$1,226.05 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.00 | 793 | $13,481.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $18.78 | 793 | $14,896.50 | $14,902.14 |
+$1,415.50 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.53 | 850 | $14,900.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $16.52 | 850 | $14,039.87 | $14,041.51 |
$-860.63 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.63 | 844 | $14,034.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.58 | 844 | $15,681.52 | $15,688.15 |
+$1,646.64 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 808 | $15,671.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.57 | 808 | $18,236.56 | $18,253.55 |
+$2,565.40 (+16.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $25.14 | 726 | $18,248.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $23.70 | 726 | $17,205.47 | $17,211.01 |
$-1,042.54 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $23.87 | 721 | $17,210.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $26.27 | 721 | $18,944.27 | $18,945.01 |
+$1,734.00 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $28.27 | 670 | $18,940.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $26.81 | 670 | $17,962.70 | $17,966.88 |
$-978.13 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.64 | 700 | $17,948.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $24.06 | 700 | $16,842.00 | $16,860.88 |
$-1,106.00 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.04 | 673 | $16,851.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.41 | 673 | $19,119.93 | $19,128.89 |
+$2,268.01 (+13.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $29.49 | 648 | $19,109.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.00 | 648 | $17,496.00 | $17,515.37 |
$-1,613.52 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:15pm ET | $27.20 | 643 | $17,489.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.58 | 643 | $16,447.94 | $16,473.71 |
$-1,041.66 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.34 | 705 | $16,454.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.08 | 705 | $15,566.40 | $15,585.41 |
$-888.30 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.00 | 708 | $15,576.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $20.90 | 708 | $14,793.66 | $14,803.07 |
$-782.34 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.35 | 693 | $14,795.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $19.88 | 693 | $13,776.84 | $13,784.36 |
$-1,018.71 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $18.36 | 750 | $13,773.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.36 | 750 | $15,270.00 | $15,280.61 |
+$1,496.25 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $22.51 | 678 | $15,265.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.92 | 678 | $16,895.83 | $16,911.27 |
+$1,630.66 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $21.27 | 795 | $16,909.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $20.20 | 795 | $16,059.00 | $16,060.62 |
$-850.65 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.17 | 724 | $16,054.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $20.81 | 724 | $15,062.82 | $15,068.74 |
$-991.88 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $21.44 | 702 | $15,050.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.67 | 702 | $16,616.34 | $16,634.20 |
+$1,565.46 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.23 | 748 | $16,628.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $20.68 | 748 | $15,472.38 | $15,478.54 |
$-1,155.66 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.38 | 662 | $15,477.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $21.76 | 662 | $14,405.12 | $14,406.10 |
$-1,072.44 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $21.02 | 685 | $14,398.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.90 | 685 | $13,631.50 | $13,638.90 |
$-767.20 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $19.42 | 702 | $13,631.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.94 | 702 | $15,401.95 | $15,409.27 |
+$1,770.37 (+13.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $21.35 | 721 | $15,393.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.99 | 721 | $14,412.79 | $14,428.71 |
$-980.56 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $19.80 | 728 | $14,414.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.85 | 728 | $15,906.80 | $15,921.11 |
+$1,492.40 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $21.53 | 739 | $15,910.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $23.70 | 739 | $17,517.99 | $17,528.73 |
+$1,607.62 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,528.73
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,528.73
Total Return:
+75.29%