Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,942
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,611.94
Current Value
$7,658.45
Period P&L
$-5,398.08
Max Drawdown
-89.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
3 / 12
Best Trade
+11.05%
Worst Trade
-8.52%
Avg Trade Return
-2.88%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$297,224.87
Estimated Fees
$743.06
Gross P&L
$-5,398.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,141.14
Gross Return
-42.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-48.69%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $12,611.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 4, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.00000896 1,407,581,149 $12,611.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:25am ET $0.00000989 1,407,581,149 $13,920.98 $13,854.65 +$1,242.72
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:35am ET $0.00000998 1,388,241,013 $13,854.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $0.00000913 1,388,241,013 $12,674.64 $12,608.32 $-1,246.33
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.00000916 1,376,453,846 $12,608.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 11, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.00000839 1,376,453,846 $11,548.45 $11,488.06 $-1,120.26
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 11, 2026 5:45pm ET $0.00000842 1,364,377,180 $11,488.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:40am ET $0.00000773 1,364,377,180 $10,546.64 $10,491.55 $-996.51
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.00000778 1,348,528,133 $10,491.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:25pm ET $0.00000715 1,348,528,133 $9,641.98 $9,591.64 $-899.91
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.4d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $0.00000580 1,653,731,034 $9,591.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 6:30pm ET $0.00000550 1,653,731,034 $9,095.52 $9,095.52 $-542.84
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:15am ET $0.00000605 1,503,391,736 $9,095.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:55am ET $0.00000574 1,503,391,736 $8,629.47 $8,629.47 $-510.36
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $0.00000511 1,688,741,683 $8,629.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55pm ET $0.00000485 1,688,741,683 $8,190.40 $8,190.40 $-481.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 11:20am ET $0.00000452 1,812,035,398 $8,190.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $0.00000499 1,812,035,398 $9,042.06 $9,042.06 +$808.58
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $0.00000507 1,783,443,787 $9,042.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 26, 2026 1:10am ET $0.00000563 1,783,443,787 $10,040.79 $10,040.79 +$951.02
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 26, 2026 1:40am ET $0.00000570 1,761,542,105 $10,040.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 26, 2026 5:25am ET $0.00000541 1,761,542,105 $9,529.94 $9,529.94 $-559.77
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:00pm ET $0.00000495 1,925,240,404 $9,529.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 8:55am ET $0.00000470 1,925,240,404 $9,048.63 $9,048.63 $-527.76
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET $0.00000574 1,576,416,376 $9,048.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:10am ET $0.00000544 1,576,416,376 $8,575.71 $8,575.71 $-516.99
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $0.00000533 1,608,951,220 $8,575.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000506 1,608,951,220 $8,141.29 $8,141.29 $-476.21
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $0.00000607 1,341,233,937 $8,141.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $0.00000571 1,341,233,937 $7,658.45 $7,658.45 $-522.34
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,658.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,341.55
Total Return: -23.42%
Back to Momo Momentum