Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
9.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 66.1/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 49.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,094
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,083.86
Current Value
$31,635.62
Period P&L
$15,551.76
Max Drawdown
-35.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+11.94%
Worst Trade
-8.28%
Avg Trade Return
+5.76%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$613,095.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,551.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,551.76
Gross Return
+96.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+96.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $16,083.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET $64.50 246 $15,867.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $71.90 246 $17,687.40 $17,727.31 +$1,820.40
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $70.01 253 $17,711.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $77.37 253 $19,573.35 $19,589.39 +$1,862.08
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $80.41 243 $19,538.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $90.01 243 $21,871.22 $21,922.19 +$2,332.80
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET $99.52 220 $21,894.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.28 220 $20,081.60 $20,109.39 $-1,812.80
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $73.39 274 $20,108.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $81.91 274 $22,443.34 $22,443.87 +$2,334.48
(+11.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $67.38 333 $22,437.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $74.56 333 $24,828.48 $24,834.78 +$2,390.91
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $70.27 353 $24,805.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $78.36 353 $27,662.84 $27,692.32 +$2,857.54
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:50am ET $84.64 327 $27,677.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $80.03 327 $26,169.81 $26,184.85 $-1,507.47
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 324 $26,137.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.58 324 $24,811.92 $24,859.66 $-1,325.19
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $66.11 376 $24,859.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 376 $23,327.42 $23,327.84 $-1,531.82
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $66.50 350 $23,275.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $73.87 350 $25,854.50 $25,907.34 +$2,579.50
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $69.89 370 $25,859.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.95 370 $28,471.50 $28,519.54 +$2,612.20
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET $56.69 503 $28,512.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $62.88 503 $31,628.64 $31,635.62 +$3,116.08
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,635.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,635.62
Total Return: +216.36%
Back to Momo Momentum