Compendium › Momo Momentum › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 19 trades executed

-8.96%
2 Years Return
$8,489.34
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$9,325.01
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
531 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,325.01
Current Value
$8,489.34
Total P&L
$-835.68
Max Drawdown
-17.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+10.41%
Worst Trade
-8.57%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
11.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$246,309.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-835.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-835.68
Gross Return
-8.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 531 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,325.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 9:30am ET $530.03 17 $9,010.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $529.82 17 $9,006.94 $9,321.49 $-3.53
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 9:30am ET $532.96 17 $9,060.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 9:35am ET $487.28 17 $8,283.68 $8,544.84 $-776.65
(-8.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:35am ET $447.11 19 $8,495.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $445.00 19 $8,455.00 $8,504.75 $-40.09
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $382.71 22 $8,419.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $421.51 22 $9,273.22 $9,358.35 +$853.60
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:35am ET $417.93 22 $9,194.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $418.04 22 $9,196.88 $9,360.82 +$2.46
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $416.32 22 $9,158.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 1:50pm ET $382.98 22 $8,425.56 $8,627.45 $-733.37
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $350.24 24 $8,405.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $361.21 24 $8,669.04 $8,890.73 +$263.28
(+3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $345.68 25 $8,641.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $354.37 25 $8,859.25 $9,108.10 +$217.38
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $350.85 25 $8,771.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $321.28 25 $8,032.00 $8,368.85 $-739.25
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $257.90 32 $8,252.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $284.76 32 $9,112.32 $9,228.21 +$859.36
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $270.76 34 $9,205.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $256.34 34 $8,715.56 $8,737.93 $-490.28
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $238.07 36 $8,570.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:05am ET $261.98 36 $9,431.10 $9,598.51 +$860.58
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $270.99 35 $9,484.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $257.39 35 $9,008.65 $9,122.51 $-476.00
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $287.13 31 $8,900.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 31 $8,267.70 $8,489.34 $-633.17
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,489.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,510.66
Total Return: -15.11%
Back to Momo Momentum