Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 23.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 16.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
72,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,163.86
Current Value
$12,276.16
Total P&L
$4,112.32
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+20.43%
Worst Trade
-10.00%
Avg Trade Return
+1.89%
Avg Hold Time
12.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$637,618.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,112.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,112.32
Gross Return
+50.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,163.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2024 9:35am ET $173.75 47 $8,166.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2024 9:35am ET $183.72 47 $8,634.61 $8,645.83 +$468.59
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 9:35am ET $179.77 48 $8,628.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $170.13 48 $8,166.24 $8,183.11 $-462.72
(-5.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2024 9:30am ET $179.36 45 $8,070.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $216.00 45 $9,720.00 $9,832.13 +$1,649.03
(+20.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 9:50am ET $244.14 40 $9,765.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET $223.54 40 $8,941.60 $9,008.13 $-824.00
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 3:25pm ET $219.65 41 $9,005.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 10:20am ET $242.15 41 $9,928.15 $9,930.63 +$922.50
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 10:25am ET $238.21 41 $9,766.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 10:25am ET $233.31 41 $9,565.71 $9,729.73 $-200.90
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $239.99 40 $9,599.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $215.99 40 $8,639.60 $8,769.73 $-960.00
(-10.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:40am ET $188.91 46 $8,689.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:40am ET $207.84 46 $9,560.47 $9,640.35 +$870.61
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 11:40am ET $207.70 46 $9,554.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:15am ET $228.52 46 $10,511.92 $10,598.07 +$957.72
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 10:15am ET $230.34 46 $10,595.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:10am ET $253.50 46 $11,661.00 $11,663.66 +$1,065.59
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:20am ET $259.60 44 $11,422.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:20am ET $262.83 44 $11,564.52 $11,805.78 +$142.12
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:20am ET $267.42 44 $11,766.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:20am ET $282.53 44 $12,431.10 $12,470.62 +$664.84
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 10:20am ET $278.64 44 $12,260.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:20am ET $296.19 44 $13,032.36 $13,242.82 +$772.20
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:20am ET $295.24 44 $12,990.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 10:20am ET $297.16 44 $13,075.04 $13,327.30 +$84.48
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $303.94 43 $13,069.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 43 $15,013.85 $15,271.62 +$1,944.32
(+14.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:50am ET $349.69 43 $15,036.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $338.25 43 $14,544.62 $14,779.57 $-492.05
(-3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $329.53 44 $14,499.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 10:40am ET $362.55 44 $15,952.28 $16,232.42 +$1,452.85
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET $360.83 44 $15,876.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $329.97 44 $14,518.68 $14,874.58 $-1,357.84
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET $399.80 37 $14,792.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $366.80 37 $13,571.60 $13,653.77 $-1,220.82
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:05am ET $348.04 39 $13,573.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $344.89 39 $13,450.83 $13,531.03 $-122.73
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $350.67 38 $13,325.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $315.67 38 $11,995.46 $12,201.04 $-1,329.99
(-10.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $333.37 36 $12,001.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $316.41 36 $11,390.76 $11,590.48 $-610.56
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $351.63 32 $11,252.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 32 $12,482.88 $12,821.20 +$1,230.72
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
24 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $433.20 29 $12,562.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 29 $14,161.86 $14,420.26 +$1,599.06
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $381.73 37 $14,124.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET $362.60 37 $13,416.20 $13,712.40 $-707.86
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:45am ET $388.73 35 $13,605.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $366.02 35 $12,810.70 $12,917.55 $-794.85
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $411.55 31 $12,758.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $390.86 31 $12,116.66 $12,276.16 $-641.39
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,276.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,276.16
Total Return: +22.76%
Back to Momo Momentum