COIN Momo Momentum's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 60 trades executed
+1.59%
2 Years Return
$10,044.10
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,886.64
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
12.7/100
× Confidence 0.89
= 11.3
30-Day Momentum
1
-7.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
73,431
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,886.64
Current Value
$10,044.10
Total P&L
$157.45
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
18 /
27
Best Trade
+26.18%
Worst Trade
-17.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,049,077.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$157.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$157.45
Gross Return
+1.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,886.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $176.63 | 55 | $9,714.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 1:10pm ET | $161.98 | 55 | $8,908.63 | $9,080.88 |
$-805.75 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 9:40am ET | $170.00 | 53 | $9,009.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 10:25am ET | $187.58 | 53 | $9,941.74 | $10,012.71 |
+$931.83 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 10:30am ET | $196.06 | 51 | $9,999.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 18, 2024 10:45am ET | $215.71 | 51 | $11,000.96 | $11,014.40 |
+$1,001.69 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 10:45am ET | $211.69 | 52 | $11,007.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 10:40am ET | $194.08 | 52 | $10,091.90 | $10,098.42 |
$-915.98 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 9:35am ET | $180.60 | 55 | $9,933.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $227.88 | 55 | $12,533.49 | $12,698.91 |
+$2,600.49 (+26.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET | $244.17 | 52 | $12,696.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2024 9:50am ET | $269.85 | 52 | $14,032.20 | $14,034.27 |
+$1,335.36 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 10:00am ET | $306.83 | 45 | $13,807.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 9:40am ET | $281.96 | 45 | $12,688.20 | $12,915.35 |
$-1,118.93 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:50am ET | $282.90 | 45 | $12,730.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2024 10:50am ET | $314.38 | 45 | $14,147.10 | $14,331.95 |
+$1,416.60 (+11.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2024 10:50am ET | $320.15 | 44 | $14,086.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 10:25am ET | $292.72 | 44 | $12,879.46 | $13,124.81 |
$-1,207.14 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 22, 2024 10:25am ET | $298.26 | 44 | $13,123.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 3:00pm ET | $328.20 | 44 | $14,440.73 | $14,442.10 |
+$1,317.29 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2024 3:00pm ET | $319.60 | 45 | $14,382.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET | $293.40 | 45 | $13,203.00 | $13,263.10 |
$-1,179.00 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.72 | 44 | $13,011.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 12:45pm ET | $271.00 | 44 | $11,924.00 | $12,175.64 |
$-1,087.46 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $283.21 | 42 | $11,894.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $272.59 | 42 | $11,448.78 | $11,729.59 |
$-446.06 (-3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $206.05 | 56 | $11,538.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.55 | 56 | $13,246.80 | $13,437.87 |
+$1,708.28 (+14.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $260.25 | 51 | $13,272.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $247.93 | 51 | $12,644.43 | $12,809.44 |
$-628.43 (-4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $259.84 | 49 | $12,732.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $238.25 | 49 | $11,674.25 | $11,751.53 |
$-1,057.91 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $302.60 | 38 | $11,498.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $333.23 | 38 | $12,662.74 | $12,915.47 |
+$1,163.94 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $354.19 | 36 | $12,750.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $391.21 | 36 | $14,083.56 | $14,248.19 |
+$1,332.72 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $394.22 | 36 | $14,191.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $435.30 | 36 | $15,670.80 | $15,727.07 |
+$1,478.88 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $429.81 | 36 | $15,472.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $391.19 | 36 | $14,082.66 | $14,336.75 |
$-1,390.32 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $396.58 | 36 | $14,276.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $326.69 | 36 | $11,760.66 | $11,820.71 |
$-2,516.04 (-17.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $324.32 | 36 | $11,675.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $359.58 | 36 | $12,944.88 | $13,090.07 |
+$1,269.36 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $379.86 | 34 | $12,915.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $348.92 | 34 | $11,863.28 | $12,038.11 |
$-1,051.96 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $346.21 | 34 | $11,771.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $317.82 | 34 | $10,805.71 | $11,072.68 |
$-965.43 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $358.59 | 30 | $10,757.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $329.13 | 30 | $9,873.90 | $10,188.88 |
$-883.80 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $169.91 | 59 | $10,024.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $160.86 | 59 | $9,490.80 | $9,654.99 |
$-533.89 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.76 | 56 | $9,618.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.70 | 56 | $10,959.20 | $10,995.63 |
+$1,340.64 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $205.07 | 53 | $10,868.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $193.65 | 53 | $10,263.45 | $10,390.37 |
$-605.26 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $167.05 | 62 | $10,357.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 62 | $11,466.28 | $11,499.55 |
+$1,109.18 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $173.53 | 66 | $11,452.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $191.49 | 66 | $12,638.34 | $12,684.91 |
+$1,185.36 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $208.37 | 60 | $12,502.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $197.95 | 60 | $11,877.00 | $12,059.79 |
$-625.12 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $201.01 | 59 | $11,859.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $190.70 | 59 | $11,251.30 | $11,451.50 |
$-608.29 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $206.37 | 55 | $11,350.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $195.26 | 55 | $10,739.30 | $10,840.45 |
$-611.05 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $179.92 | 60 | $10,795.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $169.86 | 60 | $10,191.60 | $10,236.85 |
$-603.60 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.72 | 65 | $10,121.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.60 | 65 | $11,154.00 | $11,269.05 |
+$1,032.20 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $171.88 | 65 | $11,172.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $163.27 | 65 | $10,612.55 | $10,709.40 |
$-559.65 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $152.28 | 70 | $10,659.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $170.46 | 70 | $11,932.55 | $11,982.35 |
+$1,272.95 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 68 | $11,825.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.93 | 68 | $11,079.24 | $11,236.39 |
$-745.96 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.67 | 67 | $11,166.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.28 | 67 | $10,269.76 | $10,339.26 |
$-897.13 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $148.87 | 69 | $10,272.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $164.00 | 69 | $11,316.00 | $11,383.23 |
+$1,043.97 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.00 | 62 | $11,284.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.57 | 62 | $10,699.34 | $10,798.57 |
$-584.66 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $187.78 | 57 | $10,703.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $177.50 | 57 | $10,117.50 | $10,212.61 |
$-585.96 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $181.55 | 56 | $10,166.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $170.90 | 56 | $9,570.12 | $9,616.20 |
$-596.41 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $170.88 | 56 | $9,569.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $188.00 | 56 | $10,528.20 | $10,575.26 |
+$959.06 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $204.67 | 51 | $10,438.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $194.26 | 51 | $9,907.01 | $10,044.10 |
$-531.16 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,044.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$44.10
Total Return:
+0.44%