Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:31:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 6.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,593
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$6,844.65
Current Value
$8,047.87
Total P&L
$1,203.22
Max Drawdown
-42.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+10.79%
Worst Trade
-8.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.15%
Avg Hold Time
14.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,798.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,203.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,203.22
Gross Return
+17.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $6,844.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2024 9:40am ET $275.69 24 $6,616.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2024 9:40am ET $284.75 24 $6,834.00 $7,062.10 +$217.44
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 9:45am ET $291.13 24 $6,987.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $304.74 24 $7,313.76 $7,388.86 +$326.76
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET $310.14 23 $7,133.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 10:35am ET $341.69 23 $7,858.87 $8,114.55 +$725.69
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 10:35am ET $344.91 23 $7,932.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 10:35am ET $332.51 23 $7,647.73 $7,829.35 $-285.20
(-3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 10:50am ET $329.15 23 $7,570.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $363.84 23 $8,368.29 $8,627.19 +$797.84
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 9:30am ET $359.06 24 $8,617.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 9:30am ET $343.45 24 $8,242.80 $8,252.55 $-374.64
(-4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 9:30am ET $354.37 23 $8,150.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:50pm ET $326.02 23 $7,498.46 $7,600.50 $-652.05
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:30am ET $273.25 27 $7,377.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $281.89 27 $7,611.10 $7,833.84 +$233.35
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:40am ET $279.81 27 $7,554.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:05am ET $256.00 27 $6,912.00 $7,190.97 $-642.87
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 9:35am ET $252.29 28 $7,064.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET $244.72 28 $6,852.16 $6,979.01 $-211.96
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $260.72 26 $6,778.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:10am ET $239.60 26 $6,229.60 $6,430.02 $-548.99
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $261.79 24 $6,282.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $267.45 24 $6,418.80 $6,565.86 +$135.84
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $265.96 24 $6,383.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $244.60 24 $5,870.40 $6,053.22 $-512.64
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $185.85 32 $5,947.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $176.42 32 $5,645.44 $5,751.46 $-301.76
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
43.2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $185.79 30 $5,573.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $204.44 30 $6,133.20 $6,310.81 +$559.35
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $164.82 38 $6,263.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $156.24 38 $5,937.12 $5,984.58 $-326.23
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET $171.56 34 $5,833.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $189.24 34 $6,434.16 $6,585.70 +$601.12
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:45am ET $192.78 34 $6,554.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $213.00 34 $7,242.00 $7,273.18 +$687.48
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 31 $7,176.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $256.49 31 $7,951.19 $8,047.87 +$774.69
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,047.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,952.13
Total Return: -19.52%
Back to Momo Momentum