Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:35:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 11.0/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 9.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,645.73
Current Value
$4,720.16
Total P&L
$-6,925.57
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
32
Winners / Losers
17 / 15
Best Trade
+12.04%
Worst Trade
-73.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
10.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$729,110.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,925.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,925.57
Gross Return
-59.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-59.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,645.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2024 9:30am ET $297.51 39 $11,602.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 1:20pm ET $273.58 39 $10,669.62 $10,833.75 $-933.27
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 1:20pm ET $280.62 38 $10,663.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:55am ET $308.87 38 $11,737.06 $11,907.07 +$1,073.32
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2024 10:40am ET $319.82 37 $11,833.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 10:40am ET $298.91 37 $11,059.67 $11,133.40 $-773.67
(-6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $298.48 37 $11,043.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 1:50pm ET $328.72 37 $12,162.54 $12,252.18 +$1,118.78
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:35am ET $334.36 36 $12,036.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 11:55am ET $368.14 36 $13,253.04 $13,468.44 +$1,216.26
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 11:55am ET $364.55 36 $13,123.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET $366.73 36 $13,202.28 $13,546.92 +$78.48
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $383.47 35 $13,421.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:30pm ET $351.28 35 $12,294.63 $12,420.03 $-1,126.90
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 9:30am ET $400.53 31 $12,416.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 10:20am ET $440.77 31 $13,663.87 $13,667.47 +$1,247.44
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 10:25am ET $448.22 30 $13,446.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 2:00pm ET $412.26 30 $12,367.80 $12,588.67 $-1,078.80
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 2:05pm ET $398.11 31 $12,341.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET $358.87 31 $11,125.11 $11,372.36 $-1,216.30
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:40am ET $358.00 31 $11,098.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $326.73 31 $10,128.63 $10,402.99 $-969.37
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $369.00 28 $10,331.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 11:00am ET $406.43 28 $11,380.04 $11,451.17 +$1,048.18
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 11:25am ET $416.62 27 $11,248.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 11:25am ET $429.80 27 $11,604.60 $11,807.03 +$355.86
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
14 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 11:35am ET $439.88 26 $11,436.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 11:45am ET $484.33 26 $12,592.58 $12,962.73 +$1,155.70
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 11:50am ET $463.55 27 $12,515.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 11:50am ET $484.82 27 $13,090.14 $13,537.16 +$574.42
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:40am ET $498.39 27 $13,456.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:40am ET $473.56 27 $12,786.12 $12,866.87 $-670.29
(-5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 9:40am ET $447.07 28 $12,517.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:15am ET $492.61 28 $13,793.08 $14,142.13 +$1,275.26
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:15am ET $501.03 28 $14,028.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:15am ET $503.05 28 $14,085.40 $14,198.69 +$56.56
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:15am ET $511.20 27 $13,802.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:15am ET $545.18 27 $14,719.94 $15,116.23 +$917.54
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:20am ET $541.55 27 $14,621.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $535.24 27 $14,451.35 $14,945.72 $-170.50
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET $381.34 39 $14,872.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET $362.10 39 $14,121.90 $14,195.36 $-750.36
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $427.87 33 $14,119.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $405.40 33 $13,378.20 $13,453.75 $-741.61
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $418.90 32 $13,404.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $397.74 32 $12,727.68 $12,776.63 $-677.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $393.94 32 $12,606.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $433.81 32 $13,881.92 $14,052.47 +$1,275.84
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
25 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $491.83 28 $13,771.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $541.11 28 $15,151.08 $15,432.31 +$1,379.84
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
26 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $707.01 21 $14,847.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $778.84 21 $16,355.64 $16,940.74 +$1,508.43
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $730.26 23 $16,795.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $191.26 23 $4,398.87 $4,543.62 $-12,397.12
(-73.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $206.41 22 $4,541.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $195.70 22 $4,305.40 $4,308.00 $-235.62
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $199.75 21 $4,194.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $188.00 21 $3,948.00 $4,061.21 $-246.79
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:10am ET $212.18 19 $4,031.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET $201.04 19 $3,819.76 $3,849.64 $-211.57
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 18 $3,744.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $233.05 18 $4,194.90 $4,300.54 +$450.90
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 19 $4,161.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $241.10 19 $4,580.81 $4,720.16 +$419.62
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,720.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,279.84
Total Return: -52.80%
Back to Momo Momentum