Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
1.4/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 9.2/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,568
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
514 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,697.02
Current Value
$10,046.54
Total P&L
$-650.47
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+10.43%
Worst Trade
-8.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
19d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$267,441.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-650.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-650.47
Gross Return
-6.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 514 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,697.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2024 10:30am ET $90.15 118 $10,637.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 10:30am ET $88.35 118 $10,424.83 $10,501.85 $-212.87
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 17, 2025 9:35am ET $87.42 120 $10,490.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:35am ET $91.53 120 $10,983.10 $10,994.55 +$492.70
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 9:40am ET $90.61 121 $10,963.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 9:40am ET $90.72 121 $10,977.12 $11,007.86 +$13.31
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET $93.55 117 $10,945.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $85.86 117 $10,045.62 $10,108.13 $-899.73
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:35am ET $85.93 117 $10,053.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $86.40 117 $10,108.80 $10,163.70 +$55.58
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $86.04 118 $10,152.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $89.16 118 $10,520.88 $10,531.86 +$368.16
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:40am ET $92.02 114 $10,490.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 9:40am ET $92.68 114 $10,565.52 $10,607.10 +$75.24
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:40am ET $98.07 108 $10,591.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $93.56 108 $10,103.94 $10,119.48 $-487.62
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $101.79 99 $10,077.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:40am ET $101.00 99 $9,999.00 $10,041.27 $-78.21
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $100.66 99 $9,965.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $96.56 99 $9,558.95 $9,634.88 $-406.39
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $102.06 94 $9,593.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.54 94 $9,545.23 $9,586.94 $-47.94
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
10.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $77.58 123 $9,542.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $85.68 123 $10,538.64 $10,582.63 +$995.69
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
34d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $88.67 119 $10,551.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $84.16 119 $10,015.04 $10,046.54 $-536.09
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,046.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$46.54
Total Return: +0.47%
Back to Momo Momentum