Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 57.7/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 53.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
73,553
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,511.04
Current Value
$42,494.02
Total P&L
$30,983.00
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
58
Winners / Losers
33 / 25
Best Trade
+18.29%
Worst Trade
-19.33%
Avg Trade Return
+2.76%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,748,590.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$30,983.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$30,983.00
Gross Return
+269.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+269.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,511.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 27, 2024 9:30am ET $109.86 104 $11,425.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 10:05am ET $100.99 104 $10,502.96 $10,588.56 $-922.48
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 10:10am ET $100.90 104 $10,493.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET $111.95 104 $11,642.80 $11,737.76 +$1,149.20
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:35am ET $111.20 105 $11,675.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $99.50 105 $10,447.50 $10,509.59 $-1,228.17
(-10.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET $113.08 92 $10,403.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET $103.56 92 $9,527.06 $9,633.29 $-876.30
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $107.84 89 $9,597.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET $87.00 89 $7,743.00 $7,778.35 $-1,854.94
(-19.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET $105.97 73 $7,735.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $95.64 73 $6,981.36 $7,023.89 $-754.46
(-9.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 9:35am ET $91.60 76 $6,961.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $104.35 76 $7,930.55 $7,992.84 +$968.95
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 9:45am ET $97.16 82 $7,967.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $88.97 82 $7,295.53 $7,321.25 $-671.59
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:40am ET $80.50 90 $7,245.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.15 90 $8,383.50 $8,459.75 +$1,138.50
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:50am ET $96.80 87 $8,421.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET $97.73 87 $8,502.51 $8,540.66 +$80.91
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:35am ET $101.71 83 $8,441.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $114.07 83 $9,467.71 $9,566.44 +$1,025.78
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 9:45am ET $116.18 82 $9,526.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:20am ET $127.80 82 $10,479.60 $10,519.28 +$952.84
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:40am ET $126.50 83 $10,499.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:40am ET $120.03 83 $9,962.49 $9,982.27 $-537.01
(-5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET $126.80 78 $9,890.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $115.38 78 $8,999.64 $9,091.57 $-890.70
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $117.03 77 $9,011.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $128.75 77 $9,913.75 $9,993.64 +$902.07
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $129.50 77 $9,971.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET $153.17 77 $11,794.46 $11,816.99 +$1,823.34
(+18.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $153.49 76 $11,665.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:20am ET $168.84 76 $12,831.84 $12,983.59 +$1,166.60
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:25am ET $161.02 80 $12,881.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:40am ET $177.63 80 $14,210.40 $14,312.39 +$1,328.80
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:45am ET $183.90 77 $14,160.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $203.80 77 $15,692.60 $15,844.83 +$1,532.45
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $198.81 79 $15,705.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:55am ET $219.00 79 $17,301.00 $17,440.24 +$1,595.41
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 11:15am ET $218.94 79 $17,295.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $241.42 79 $19,072.18 $19,216.55 +$1,776.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:45am ET $235.15 81 $19,046.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 81 $16,538.58 $16,708.18 $-2,508.37
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $239.39 69 $16,517.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:15am ET $263.47 69 $18,179.43 $18,369.70 +$1,661.52
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET $260.75 70 $18,252.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $239.47 70 $16,762.90 $16,880.11 $-1,489.59
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:50am ET $265.64 63 $16,735.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $292.31 63 $18,415.53 $18,560.55 +$1,680.44
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $294.36 63 $18,544.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $325.68 63 $20,517.84 $20,533.71 +$1,973.16
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $341.59 60 $20,495.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $377.51 60 $22,650.30 $22,688.61 +$2,154.90
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $382.93 59 $22,593.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 59 $25,062.01 $25,157.46 +$2,468.86
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $436.58 57 $24,885.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $400.42 57 $22,823.71 $23,096.11 $-2,061.35
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $367.34 62 $22,775.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.19 62 $23,819.78 $24,140.81 +$1,044.70
(+4.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET $421.36 57 $24,017.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $398.74 57 $22,728.24 $22,851.53 $-1,289.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $401.34 56 $22,475.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $381.21 56 $21,347.77 $21,724.26 $-1,127.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $400.79 54 $21,642.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 54 $24,113.16 $24,194.76 +$2,470.50
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $450.13 53 $23,856.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $426.03 53 $22,579.59 $22,917.72 $-1,277.04
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 65 $22,638.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $384.09 65 $24,965.85 $25,245.37 +$2,327.65
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 60 $24,851.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $455.62 60 $27,337.20 $27,731.47 +$2,486.10
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $478.04 58 $27,726.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $526.32 58 $30,526.27 $30,531.42 +$2,799.95
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
38 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $539.99 56 $30,239.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 56 $34,124.72 $34,416.42 +$3,885.00
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
39 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $679.00 50 $33,950.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $791.74 50 $39,587.25 $40,053.67 +$5,637.25
(+16.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
40 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:25pm ET $746.49 53 $39,564.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:30am ET $708.73 53 $37,562.95 $38,052.39 $-2,001.28
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
41 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $696.16 54 $37,592.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:45am ET $766.58 54 $41,395.32 $41,855.07 +$3,802.68
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
42 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:45am ET $882.97 47 $41,499.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $971.46 47 $45,658.62 $46,013.87 +$4,158.80
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $1,023.58 44 $45,037.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 44 $41,461.64 $42,437.99 $-3,575.88
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 45 $42,221.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 45 $40,036.50 $40,252.79 $-2,185.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $965.06 41 $39,567.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $1,062.54 41 $43,564.14 $44,249.47 +$3,996.68
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $1,122.70 39 $43,785.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,062.00 39 $41,418.00 $41,882.36 $-2,367.11
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 34 $41,756.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,142.23 34 $38,835.82 $38,961.25 $-2,921.11
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:45am ET $1,089.21 35 $38,122.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,028.20 35 $35,987.00 $36,825.73 $-2,135.52
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET $1,010.16 36 $36,365.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 36 $33,032.52 $33,492.49 $-3,333.24
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 33 $33,409.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 33 $31,738.74 $31,821.70 $-1,670.79
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $984.70 32 $31,510.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $929.54 32 $29,745.31 $30,056.61 $-1,765.09
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:10am ET $856.50 35 $29,977.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $943.66 35 $33,028.10 $33,107.21 +$3,050.60
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $835.12 39 $32,569.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $924.41 39 $36,051.80 $36,589.33 +$3,482.12
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $825.40 44 $36,317.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET $912.41 44 $40,146.04 $40,417.99 +$3,828.66
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET $902.48 44 $39,709.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $855.30 44 $37,633.42 $38,342.29 $-2,075.70
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 41 $37,588.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,010.48 41 $41,429.68 $42,183.58 +$3,841.29
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:25am ET $997.30 42 $41,886.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 42 $38,206.56 $38,503.54 $-3,680.04
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 39 $38,101.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET $1,079.28 39 $42,091.92 $42,494.02 +$3,990.48
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,494.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,494.02
Total Return: +324.94%
Back to Momo Momentum