Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:45:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,333
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,193.91
Current Value
$15,788.46
Total P&L
$6,594.53
Max Drawdown
-31.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
39
Winners / Losers
19 / 20
Best Trade
+14.97%
Worst Trade
-10.69%
Avg Trade Return
+1.77%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,064,658.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,594.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,594.53
Gross Return
+71.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+71.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,193.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET $85.03 108 $9,183.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 1:15pm ET $78.10 108 $8,434.80 $8,445.47 $-748.44
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET $82.70 102 $8,434.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 10:05am ET $91.39 102 $9,321.78 $9,332.36 +$886.89
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2024 10:05am ET $93.31 100 $9,330.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 10:05am ET $88.00 100 $8,800.01 $8,801.87 $-530.49
(-5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 10:05am ET $86.75 101 $8,761.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 10:55am ET $95.44 101 $9,639.44 $9,680.07 +$878.19
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET $95.98 100 $9,598.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 12:10pm ET $105.60 100 $10,560.00 $10,642.07 +$962.00
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 12:20pm ET $103.99 102 $10,606.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 10:05am ET $114.55 102 $11,683.59 $11,718.68 +$1,076.61
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 10:10am ET $113.16 103 $11,655.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 10:10am ET $108.20 103 $11,144.60 $11,208.00 $-510.67
(-4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET $118.88 94 $11,174.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 10:00am ET $132.28 94 $12,434.32 $12,467.60 +$1,259.60
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 10:25am ET $135.84 91 $12,360.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET $154.91 91 $14,096.36 $14,202.97 +$1,735.37
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:45am ET $170.75 83 $14,172.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET $157.05 83 $13,035.15 $13,065.87 $-1,137.10
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2025 9:35am ET $155.76 83 $12,928.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 10:10am ET $142.65 83 $11,839.54 $11,977.12 $-1,088.75
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 9:35am ET $148.40 80 $11,871.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $136.28 80 $10,902.40 $11,007.92 $-969.20
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $121.13 90 $10,901.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 90 $12,132.00 $12,238.67 +$1,230.75
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $137.80 88 $12,126.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $153.67 88 $13,522.78 $13,635.05 +$1,396.38
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:35am ET $152.02 89 $13,529.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $167.52 89 $14,909.28 $15,014.38 +$1,379.33
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $171.96 87 $14,960.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.16 87 $16,543.92 $16,597.78 +$1,583.40
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $188.82 87 $16,427.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $187.54 87 $16,315.98 $16,486.42 $-111.36
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:35am ET $190.27 86 $16,363.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:30am ET $209.51 86 $18,017.86 $18,141.12 +$1,654.69
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:35am ET $204.78 88 $18,020.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $187.48 88 $16,498.24 $16,618.72 $-1,522.40
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $212.30 78 $16,559.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $217.52 78 $16,966.56 $17,025.88 +$407.16
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:40am ET $224.49 75 $16,836.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $215.19 75 $16,139.25 $16,328.30 $-697.58
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET $255.91 63 $16,122.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:25pm ET $235.16 63 $14,815.08 $15,021.05 $-1,307.25
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $230.75 65 $14,998.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $206.08 65 $13,394.88 $13,417.18 $-1,603.88
(-10.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $198.44 67 $13,295.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $182.80 67 $12,247.27 $12,369.30 $-1,047.88
(-7.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $187.32 66 $12,363.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $215.36 66 $14,213.76 $14,219.94 +$1,850.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 72 $14,181.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $186.28 72 $13,412.16 $13,450.26 $-769.68
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 60 $13,406.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 60 $12,728.10 $12,771.66 $-678.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $172.80 73 $12,614.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $190.38 73 $13,897.95 $14,054.85 +$1,283.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $201.66 69 $13,914.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $222.26 69 $15,335.94 $15,476.25 +$1,421.40
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
30 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:30am ET $238.36 64 $15,255.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $216.50 64 $13,856.00 $14,077.21 $-1,399.04
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
31 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:20am ET $222.99 63 $14,048.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $246.38 63 $15,521.94 $15,550.47 +$1,473.26
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $275.76 56 $15,442.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $259.64 56 $14,539.84 $14,648.03 $-902.44
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $238.78 61 $14,565.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:40am ET $262.66 61 $16,022.27 $16,104.72 +$1,456.69
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:35am ET $282.50 57 $16,102.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $268.11 57 $15,282.27 $15,284.49 $-820.23
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:25am ET $267.23 57 $15,232.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET $294.02 57 $16,759.42 $16,811.80 +$1,527.31
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $312.94 53 $16,585.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $297.22 53 $15,752.66 $15,978.64 $-833.16
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:40am ET $325.23 49 $15,936.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $307.49 49 $15,067.01 $15,109.62 $-869.02
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
38 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $303.53 49 $14,872.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $288.22 49 $14,122.78 $14,359.43 $-750.19
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $304.05 47 $14,290.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $334.45 47 $15,719.15 $15,788.46 +$1,429.03
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,788.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,788.46
Total Return: +57.88%
Back to Momo Momentum