Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,407
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$7,058.23
Current Value
$11,604.37
Total P&L
$4,546.13
Max Drawdown
-36.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
21
Winners / Losers
13 / 8
Best Trade
+12.41%
Worst Trade
-9.32%
Avg Trade Return
+2.68%
Avg Hold Time
13.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$374,108.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,546.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,546.13
Gross Return
+64.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+64.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $7,058.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 9:50am ET $182.17 38 $6,922.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 9:50am ET $181.60 38 $6,900.61 $7,036.38 $-21.85
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:50am ET $180.93 38 $6,875.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $199.61 38 $7,585.18 $7,746.13 +$709.75
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET $197.50 39 $7,702.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET $194.48 39 $7,584.82 $7,628.54 $-117.59
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 9:50am ET $196.08 38 $7,451.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:50am ET $186.92 38 $7,102.96 $7,280.46 $-348.08
(-4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $186.86 38 $7,100.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $205.68 38 $7,815.65 $7,995.43 +$714.97
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2025 2:35pm ET $205.92 38 $7,824.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:55am ET $189.44 38 $7,198.53 $7,369.19 $-626.24
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2025 9:45am ET $184.65 39 $7,201.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:45am ET $192.61 39 $7,511.60 $7,679.44 +$310.24
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 9:45am ET $192.93 39 $7,524.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:45am ET $198.11 39 $7,726.29 $7,881.60 +$202.16
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $200.14 39 $7,805.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET $202.81 39 $7,909.40 $7,985.53 +$103.94
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:45am ET $188.67 42 $7,924.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 9:45am ET $203.95 42 $8,565.69 $8,627.08 +$641.55
(+8.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:00am ET $205.88 41 $8,440.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:00am ET $215.97 41 $8,854.57 $9,040.77 +$413.69
(+4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET $216.24 41 $8,865.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:00am ET $219.13 41 $8,984.33 $9,159.26 +$118.49
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $219.60 41 $9,003.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $199.12 41 $8,163.92 $8,319.79 $-839.48
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $155.27 53 $8,229.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $174.54 53 $9,250.88 $9,341.36 +$1,021.57
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $195.71 47 $9,198.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:45am ET $215.92 47 $10,148.24 $10,291.23 +$949.87
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $272.59 37 $10,085.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $300.61 37 $11,122.57 $11,327.97 +$1,036.74
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $316.00 35 $11,060.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $350.67 35 $12,273.62 $12,541.59 +$1,213.62
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $344.44 36 $12,399.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $326.40 36 $11,750.40 $11,892.15 $-649.44
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:10am ET $364.47 32 $11,663.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $345.30 32 $11,049.60 $11,278.71 $-613.44
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $358.56 31 $11,115.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $335.38 31 $10,396.78 $10,560.13 $-718.58
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $346.24 30 $10,387.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:15am ET $381.05 30 $11,431.50 $11,604.37 +$1,044.24
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,604.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,604.37
Total Return: +16.04%
Back to Momo Momentum