Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.5/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 42.0/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,353
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,959.11
Current Value
$13,587.08
Total P&L
$2,627.98
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+11.90%
Worst Trade
-8.26%
Avg Trade Return
+1.46%
Avg Hold Time
16.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$398,526.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,627.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,627.98
Gross Return
+23.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,959.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $129.66 84 $10,891.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET $125.75 84 $10,563.00 $10,630.67 $-328.44
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET $128.93 82 $10,572.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2024 9:35am ET $131.55 82 $10,787.10 $10,845.51 +$214.84
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 6, 2024 9:40am ET $131.59 82 $10,789.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 9:40am ET $121.56 82 $9,967.51 $10,023.05 $-822.46
(-7.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 9:35am ET $130.64 76 $9,928.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $146.19 76 $11,110.44 $11,204.85 +$1,181.80
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET $144.65 77 $11,138.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2025 9:30am ET $154.93 77 $11,929.61 $11,996.41 +$791.56
(+7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:35am ET $155.14 77 $11,945.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 10:35am ET $152.59 77 $11,749.05 $11,799.67 $-196.73
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $159.70 73 $11,658.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $146.51 73 $10,695.23 $10,836.80 $-962.87
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 9:35am ET $162.37 66 $10,716.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:35am ET $174.13 66 $11,492.90 $11,613.29 +$776.48
(+7.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:35am ET $174.62 66 $11,524.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 9:35am ET $178.68 66 $11,792.88 $11,881.25 +$267.96
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET $181.18 65 $11,776.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $183.45 65 $11,924.25 $12,028.80 +$147.55
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:50am ET $173.45 69 $11,967.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:50am ET $165.37 69 $11,410.53 $11,471.54 $-557.25
(-4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $157.17 72 $11,316.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $158.92 72 $11,442.06 $11,597.36 +$125.82
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $159.31 72 $11,470.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $163.07 72 $11,741.04 $11,868.08 +$270.72
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $164.47 72 $11,841.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $180.10 72 $12,966.84 $12,993.08 +$1,125.00
(+9.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $179.75 72 $12,942.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.75 72 $13,086.00 $13,137.08 +$144.00
(+1.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $163.17 80 $13,053.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:20am ET $179.51 80 $14,360.40 $14,443.88 +$1,306.80
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET $205.93 70 $14,415.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $193.69 70 $13,558.30 $13,587.08 $-856.80
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,587.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,587.08
Total Return: +35.87%
Back to Momo Momentum