Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:46:58

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.1/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 54.7/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 47.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,217.67
Current Value
$13,722.59
Period P&L
$-495.08
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.95

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+0.49%
Worst Trade
-2.46%
Avg Trade Return
-1.17%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,987.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-495.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-495.08
Gross Return
-3.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,217.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $132.47 107 $14,217.67
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $129.21 107 $13,867.78 $13,867.78 $-349.89
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $128.02 108 $13,867.78
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $126.07 108 $13,656.01 $13,656.01 $-211.77
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $123.07 111 $13,656.01
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $123.67 111 $13,722.59 $13,722.59 +$66.58
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,722.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,722.59
Total Return: +37.23%
Back to Monday Masher