Compendium › Monday Masher › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.31%
Last Month Return
$49,179.57
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$49,830.25
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.5/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 73.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 71.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-66 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$49,830.25
Current Value
$49,179.57
Period P&L
$-650.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+4.67%
Worst Trade
-8.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$307,562.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-650.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-650.68
Gross Return
-1.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $49,830.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $104.74 470 $49,205.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $108.77 470 $51,101.13 $51,101.13 +$1,895.73
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $102.25 500 $51,101.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.02 500 $53,487.63 $53,487.63 +$2,386.50
(+4.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET $113.79 470 $53,487.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $104.63 470 $49,179.57 $49,179.57 $-4,308.06
(-8.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $49,179.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$39,179.57
Total Return: +391.80%
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