AVGO Monday Masher's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 30 trades in period
+11.84%
Last Year Return
$18,280.74
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$16,345.40
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
58
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
62.0/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 57.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,218
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$16,345.40
Current Value
$18,280.74
Period P&L
$1,935.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
16 /
14
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,068,604.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,935.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,935.34
Gross Return
+11.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $16,345.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $201.67 | 81 | $16,359.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $207.77 | 81 | $16,854.01 | $16,854.01 |
+$494.82 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $225.17 | 75 | $16,854.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $230.53 | 75 | $17,255.35 | $17,255.35 |
+$401.34 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.13 | 71 | $17,255.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $256.13 | 71 | $18,177.98 | $18,177.98 |
+$922.63 (+5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $270.13 | 67 | $18,177.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $286.55 | 67 | $19,282.94 | $19,282.94 |
+$1,104.96 (+6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $300.82 | 64 | $19,282.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $289.57 | 64 | $18,561.80 | $18,561.80 |
$-721.14 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $346.86 | 54 | $18,561.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $359.62 | 54 | $19,244.91 | $19,244.91 |
+$683.11 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $357.37 | 54 | $19,244.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $345.16 | 54 | $18,587.64 | $18,587.64 |
$-657.27 (-3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:55am ET | $341.60 | 54 | $18,587.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $336.11 | 54 | $18,289.18 | $18,289.18 |
$-298.46 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $333.84 | 55 | $18,289.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $338.20 | 55 | $18,528.03 | $18,528.03 |
+$238.85 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $339.40 | 55 | $18,528.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $345.02 | 55 | $18,834.83 | $18,834.83 |
+$306.80 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $353.71 | 53 | $18,834.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $354.14 | 53 | $18,857.67 | $18,857.67 |
+$22.84 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $349.26 | 54 | $18,857.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $344.35 | 54 | $18,592.56 | $18,592.56 |
$-265.11 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:30am ET | $355.68 | 52 | $18,592.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $376.45 | 52 | $19,678.55 | $19,678.55 |
+$1,085.99 (+5.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $366.60 | 54 | $19,678.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $355.76 | 54 | $19,096.94 | $19,096.94 |
$-581.61 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $355.64 | 54 | $19,096.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $340.06 | 54 | $18,260.33 | $18,260.33 |
$-836.61 (-4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $346.55 | 53 | $18,260.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $347.07 | 53 | $18,287.99 | $18,287.99 |
+$27.66 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $393.15 | 47 | $18,287.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $381.20 | 47 | $17,732.12 | $17,732.12 |
$-555.87 (-3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $352.09 | 50 | $17,732.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $329.70 | 50 | $16,604.55 | $16,604.55 |
$-1,127.57 (-6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:55am ET | $339.04 | 49 | $16,604.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $352.18 | 49 | $17,248.08 | $17,248.08 |
+$643.53 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $339.20 | 51 | $17,248.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $332.40 | 51 | $16,902.30 | $16,902.30 |
$-345.78 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $347.65 | 49 | $16,902.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $343.06 | 49 | $16,679.14 | $16,679.14 |
$-223.16 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $322.63 | 52 | $16,679.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $330.75 | 52 | $17,098.92 | $17,098.92 |
+$419.78 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $347.85 | 49 | $17,098.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.05 | 49 | $16,273.33 | $16,273.33 |
$-825.59 (-4.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $334.60 | 49 | $16,273.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $321.34 | 49 | $15,628.43 | $15,628.43 |
$-644.90 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.36 | 51 | $15,628.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.52 | 51 | $16,748.17 | $16,748.17 |
+$1,119.74 (+7.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.32 | 51 | $16,748.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.15 | 51 | $17,200.50 | $17,200.50 |
+$452.33 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $320.21 | 54 | $17,200.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.52 | 54 | $16,626.77 | $16,626.77 |
$-573.73 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $298.41 | 56 | $16,626.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $314.04 | 56 | $17,497.64 | $17,497.64 |
+$870.87 (+5.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $400.14 | 44 | $17,497.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $419.67 | 44 | $18,351.66 | $18,351.66 |
+$854.02 (+4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $418.25 | 44 | $18,351.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $416.63 | 44 | $18,280.74 | $18,280.74 |
$-70.92 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,280.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,280.74
Total Return:
+82.81%