COIN Monday Masher's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 43 trades in period
-16.63%
Last Year Return
$5,528.46
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$6,631.06
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
3.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.4
30-Day Momentum
13
+3.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$6,631.06
Current Value
$5,528.46
Period P&L
$-1,102.60
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
12 /
31
Best Trade
+23.61%
Worst Trade
-8.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$566,259.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,102.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,102.60
Gross Return
-16.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.63%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $6,631.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $202.62 | 33 | $6,758.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $196.89 | 33 | $6,567.35 | $6,567.35 |
$-191.13 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $207.84 | 32 | $6,567.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $256.91 | 32 | $8,117.78 | $8,117.78 |
+$1,550.43 (+23.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $263.66 | 31 | $8,117.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $261.34 | 31 | $8,046.35 | $8,046.35 |
$-71.43 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:55am ET | $243.52 | 33 | $8,046.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $258.81 | 33 | $8,551.56 | $8,551.56 |
+$505.21 (+6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $300.51 | 28 | $8,551.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $344.50 | 28 | $9,803.38 | $9,803.38 |
+$1,251.82 (+14.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $352.96 | 28 | $9,803.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $335.24 | 28 | $9,311.26 | $9,311.26 |
$-492.12 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 10:55am ET | $356.88 | 26 | $9,311.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $354.82 | 26 | $9,257.64 | $9,257.64 |
$-53.62 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $391.00 | 24 | $9,257.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $388.04 | 24 | $9,187.56 | $9,187.56 |
$-70.08 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $426.26 | 22 | $9,187.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $404.42 | 22 | $8,716.72 | $8,716.72 |
$-470.84 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $387.75 | 22 | $8,716.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $371.44 | 22 | $8,350.07 | $8,350.07 |
$-366.65 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $311.57 | 27 | $8,350.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $298.00 | 27 | $7,986.39 | $7,986.39 |
$-363.68 (-4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 11:40am ET | $328.85 | 24 | $7,986.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $322.54 | 24 | $7,833.27 | $7,833.27 |
$-153.12 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $314.20 | 25 | $7,833.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $302.02 | 25 | $7,529.61 | $7,529.61 |
$-303.66 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $307.92 | 24 | $7,529.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.66 | 24 | $7,547.71 | $7,547.71 |
+$18.10 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $328.37 | 23 | $7,547.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $320.15 | 23 | $7,358.77 | $7,358.77 |
$-188.94 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 2:20pm ET | $381.12 | 19 | $7,358.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $375.66 | 19 | $7,253.35 | $7,253.35 |
$-105.42 (-1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $353.22 | 21 | $7,253.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $341.41 | 21 | $7,010.83 | $7,010.83 |
$-242.52 (-3.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 12:00pm ET | $349.64 | 20 | $7,010.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $338.71 | 20 | $6,791.67 | $6,791.67 |
$-219.16 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $366.61 | 19 | $6,791.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $355.20 | 19 | $6,580.38 | $6,580.38 |
$-211.29 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.99 | 20 | $6,580.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $307.39 | 20 | $6,056.39 | $6,056.39 |
$-523.99 (-8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $316.32 | 19 | $6,056.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $303.96 | 19 | $5,819.74 | $5,819.74 |
$-236.65 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $271.84 | 21 | $5,819.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $261.67 | 21 | $5,602.12 | $5,602.12 |
$-217.62 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $259.29 | 22 | $5,602.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $263.21 | 22 | $5,686.92 | $5,686.92 |
+$84.80 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $272.55 | 21 | $5,686.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $277.37 | 21 | $5,787.60 | $5,787.60 |
+$100.68 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $263.46 | 22 | $5,787.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $252.62 | 22 | $5,549.58 | $5,549.58 |
$-238.02 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET | $248.50 | 22 | $5,549.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $242.39 | 22 | $5,413.13 | $5,413.13 |
$-136.45 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:30am ET | $235.25 | 23 | $5,413.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $231.60 | 23 | $5,329.26 | $5,329.26 |
$-83.87 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.30 | 21 | $5,329.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.54 | 21 | $5,230.00 | $5,230.00 |
$-99.26 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $243.78 | 21 | $5,230.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $252.67 | 21 | $5,420.62 | $5,420.62 |
+$190.62 (+3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.95 | 25 | $5,420.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $210.89 | 25 | $5,318.21 | $5,318.21 |
$-102.41 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.19 | 28 | $5,318.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $179.74 | 28 | $5,052.57 | $5,052.57 |
$-265.64 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.67 | 32 | $5,052.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $162.56 | 32 | $5,144.02 | $5,144.02 |
+$91.45 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.64 | 31 | $5,144.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $162.03 | 31 | $5,062.47 | $5,062.47 |
$-81.55 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $182.63 | 28 | $5,062.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.22 | 28 | $5,051.24 | $5,051.24 |
$-11.23 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $193.35 | 26 | $5,051.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $197.05 | 26 | $5,147.90 | $5,147.90 |
+$96.66 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $201.96 | 25 | $5,147.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.23 | 25 | $5,384.21 | $5,384.21 |
+$236.31 (+4.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $198.86 | 27 | $5,384.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $181.47 | 27 | $4,913.37 | $4,913.37 |
$-470.84 (-8.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $160.52 | 31 | $4,913.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.87 | 31 | $5,352.46 | $5,352.46 |
+$439.09 (+8.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $174.71 | 31 | $5,352.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.65 | 31 | $5,350.62 | $5,350.62 |
$-1.84 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.85 | 32 | $5,350.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $184.29 | 32 | $5,981.41 | $5,981.41 |
+$630.79 (+11.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.56 | 30 | $5,981.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $195.68 | 30 | $5,835.84 | $5,835.84 |
$-145.57 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.22 | 29 | $5,835.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $194.41 | 29 | $5,694.97 | $5,694.97 |
$-140.87 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $203.50 | 28 | $5,694.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $197.55 | 28 | $5,528.46 | $5,528.46 |
$-166.51 (-2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,528.46
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,471.54
Total Return:
-44.72%