Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:01:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.5/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 60.3/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 51.6

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.5 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,400
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
255 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,804.82
Current Value
$14,217.67
Period P&L
$2,412.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
15 / 8
Best Trade
+6.62%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$604,579.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,412.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,412.85
Gross Return
+20.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 255 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,804.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:55am ET $109.29 108 $11,804.82
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $110.46 108 $11,931.20 $11,931.20 +$126.38
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:20am ET $106.80 112 $11,931.20
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $107.70 112 $12,031.24 $12,031.24 +$100.04
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $114.36 105 $12,031.24
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $112.28 105 $11,812.41 $11,812.41 $-218.83
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:35am ET $114.24 103 $11,812.41
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $117.85 103 $12,186.22 $12,186.22 +$373.81
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $112.31 109 $12,186.22
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.61 109 $12,327.28 $12,327.28 +$141.06
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $112.58 109 $12,327.28
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $110.99 109 $12,153.18 $12,153.18 $-174.10
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:00am ET $113.44 107 $12,153.18
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $116.75 107 $12,507.79 $12,507.79 +$354.61
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:05pm ET $122.70 102 $12,507.79
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $120.74 102 $12,307.99 $12,307.99 $-199.80
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $119.29 103 $12,307.99
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $123.42 103 $12,734.11 $12,734.11 +$426.12
(+3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:25am ET $117.48 108 $12,734.11
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $125.26 108 $13,577.41 $13,577.41 +$843.30
(+6.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:15am ET $126.43 107 $13,577.41
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $125.86 107 $13,516.20 $13,516.20 $-61.21
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET $124.43 109 $13,516.20
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $122.66 109 $13,323.93 $13,323.93 $-192.27
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET $120.69 110 $13,323.93
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $121.47 110 $13,410.04 $13,410.04 +$86.11
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.49 112 $13,410.04
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $120.63 112 $13,537.98 $13,537.98 +$127.94
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $119.87 113 $13,537.98
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $121.37 113 $13,707.39 $13,707.39 +$169.41
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $134.16 102 $13,707.39
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.54 102 $14,257.08 $14,257.08 +$549.69
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $151.23 94 $14,257.08
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.77 94 $14,307.99 $14,307.99 +$50.91
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $150.36 95 $14,307.99
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.55 95 $13,659.96 $13,659.96 $-648.03
(-4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $137.40 99 $13,659.96
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.74 99 $13,594.35 $13,594.35 $-65.61
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $133.90 102 $13,594.35
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.58 102 $14,171.02 $14,171.02 +$576.67
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $137.82 103 $14,171.02
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.53 103 $14,244.54 $14,244.54 +$73.52
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $136.25 105 $14,244.54
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $133.71 105 $13,978.99 $13,978.99 $-265.55
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.85 108 $13,978.99
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.05 108 $14,217.67 $14,217.67 +$238.68
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,217.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,217.67
Total Return: +42.18%
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