Compendium › Monday Masher › IWM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IWM
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 11 trades in period

+6.32%
Last Year Return
$11,488.56
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$10,805.70
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:39:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 36.6/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 27.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,579
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,805.70
Current Value
$11,488.56
Period P&L
$682.86
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+2.33%
Worst Trade
-1.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,983.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$682.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$682.86
Gross Return
+6.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,805.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET $243.94 44 $10,805.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $240.35 44 $10,646.89 $10,646.89 $-158.81
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET $232.89 46 $10,646.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $229.13 46 $10,475.22 $10,475.22 $-171.67
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $246.09 43 $10,475.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $251.82 43 $10,719.13 $10,719.13 +$243.91
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 41 $10,719.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.09 41 $10,939.49 $10,939.49 +$220.36
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 44 $10,939.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.47 44 $10,949.67 $10,949.67 +$10.18
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $247.73 44 $10,949.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.30 44 $10,930.66 $10,930.66 $-19.01
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $277.69 39 $10,930.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $281.85 39 $11,094.21 $11,094.21 +$163.55
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $286.89 39 $11,094.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $291.99 39 $11,291.43 $11,291.43 +$197.22
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $296.44 38 $11,291.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.84 38 $11,382.85 $11,382.85 +$91.42
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $291.82 39 $11,382.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $292.64 39 $11,414.84 $11,414.84 +$31.99
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $293.45 39 $11,414.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $295.34 39 $11,488.56 $11,488.56 +$73.72
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,488.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,488.56
Total Return: +14.89%
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