Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:54:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 20.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,355
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,858.44
Current Value
$11,046.67
Period P&L
$1,188.22
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.62

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+4.03%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,761.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,188.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,188.22
Gross Return
+12.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,858.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:45am ET $175.23 56 $9,771.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $177.75 56 $9,911.70 $9,911.70 +$140.25
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET $203.21 49 $9,911.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $206.92 49 $10,092.66 $10,092.66 +$180.96
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $204.23 49 $10,092.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.70 49 $10,165.30 $10,165.30 +$72.64
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $228.52 44 $10,165.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.74 44 $10,575.44 $10,575.44 +$410.14
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $231.95 46 $10,575.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.53 46 $10,510.92 $10,510.92 $-64.52
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 47 $10,510.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.23 47 $10,728.82 $10,728.82 +$217.90
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $225.13 48 $10,728.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.91 48 $10,575.37 $10,575.37 $-153.45
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $223.01 47 $10,575.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.22 47 $10,822.43 $10,822.43 +$247.06
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $234.09 46 $10,822.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $229.25 46 $10,598.46 $10,598.46 $-223.97
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $259.11 41 $10,598.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.20 41 $10,561.24 $10,561.24 $-37.22
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $250.54 42 $10,561.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $259.27 42 $10,929.24 $10,929.24 +$368.00
(+3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $254.54 43 $10,929.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $257.28 43 $11,046.67 $11,046.67 +$117.43
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,046.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,046.67
Total Return: +10.47%
Back to Monday Masher