Compendium › Monday Masher › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 7 trades in period

-0.08%
Last Year Return
$11,129.53
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$11,138.91
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 40.0/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,320
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
258 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,138.91
Current Value
$11,129.53
Period P&L
$-9.38
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,959.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-9.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9.38
Gross Return
-0.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 258 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,138.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET $295.79 38 $11,138.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $293.85 38 $11,065.85 $11,065.85 $-73.06
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $306.17 36 $11,065.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $308.50 36 $11,150.06 $11,150.06 +$84.21
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $296.05 38 $11,150.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.46 38 $11,052.89 $11,052.89 $-97.17
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $273.31 40 $11,052.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.68 40 $10,704.09 $10,704.09 $-348.80
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $273.31 40 $11,052.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $280.36 40 $11,338.00 $10,989.20 +$285.11
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET $275.00 40 $10,989.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $276.14 40 $11,034.76 $11,034.76 +$45.56
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $267.69 41 $11,034.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $269.99 41 $11,129.53 $11,129.53 +$94.77
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,129.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,129.53
Total Return: +11.30%
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