Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
9.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 71.8/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 57.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,861
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,304.95
Current Value
$15,517.53
Period P&L
$1,212.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+3.70%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$623,727.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,212.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,212.58
Gross Return
+8.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,304.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET $469.05 30 $14,304.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $485.49 30 $14,806.33 $14,806.33 +$501.38
(+3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $486.21 30 $14,806.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $477.74 30 $14,548.40 $14,548.40 $-257.93
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:25am ET $473.00 31 $14,548.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $476.06 31 $14,642.52 $14,642.52 +$94.12
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $388.43 38 $14,642.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.58 38 $15,100.53 $15,100.53 +$458.01
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $405.27 37 $15,100.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $404.91 37 $15,087.08 $15,087.08 $-13.45
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $360.89 42 $15,087.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.23 42 $15,435.74 $15,435.74 +$348.66
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $417.82 37 $15,435.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $433.27 37 $16,006.44 $16,006.44 +$570.70
(+3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $417.75 38 $16,006.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.94 38 $16,243.61 $16,243.61 +$237.17
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $414.63 39 $16,243.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.90 39 $16,215.21 $16,215.21 $-28.40
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $407.79 40 $16,215.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $404.86 40 $16,098.90 $16,098.90 $-116.31
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $415.85 39 $16,098.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.25 39 $16,307.95 $16,307.95 +$209.05
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $411.55 40 $16,307.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $398.77 40 $15,801.72 $15,801.72 $-506.23
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $373.55 42 $15,801.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.26 42 $15,493.55 $15,493.55 $-308.17
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:50am ET $374.51 41 $15,493.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.22 41 $15,895.47 $15,895.47 +$401.92
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $386.11 41 $15,895.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.14 41 $15,772.79 $15,772.79 $-122.68
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET $390.86 40 $15,772.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.28 40 $15,749.39 $15,749.39 $-23.40
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $389.60 40 $15,749.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $392.40 40 $15,862.78 $15,862.78 +$113.39
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET $483.97 33 $15,862.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $488.86 33 $16,022.95 $16,022.95 +$160.17
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $489.20 33 $16,022.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $484.26 33 $15,860.97 $15,860.97 $-161.98
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:00am ET $507.81 31 $15,860.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $496.81 31 $15,517.53 $15,517.53 $-343.44
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,517.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,517.53
Total Return: +55.18%
Back to Monday Masher