Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 53.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 48.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$6,397.54
Current Value
$14,610.99
Period P&L
$8,213.45
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
21 / 9
Best Trade
+13.16%
Worst Trade
-17.05%
Avg Trade Return
+3.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$522,697.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,213.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,213.45
Gross Return
+128.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+128.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $6,397.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 10:30am ET $191.57 33 $6,397.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.70 33 $6,001.29 $6,001.29 $-396.25
(-6.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.44 25 $6,001.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:55pm ET $201.10 25 $4,977.97 $4,977.97 $-1,023.32
(-17.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET $242.83 20 $4,977.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $248.54 20 $5,094.92 $5,094.92 +$116.95
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET $269.54 19 $5,094.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $284.79 19 $5,383.28 $5,383.28 +$288.36
(+5.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $389.13 14 $5,383.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.79 14 $6,028.86 $6,028.86 +$645.58
(+12.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 16 $6,028.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.88 16 $6,705.79 $6,705.79 +$676.93
(+11.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $419.30 16 $6,705.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.09 16 $6,622.55 $6,622.55 $-83.24
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $402.79 16 $6,622.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.02 16 $6,527.68 $6,527.68 $-94.87
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.41 18 $6,527.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.32 18 $7,260.50 $7,260.50 +$732.82
(+11.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $439.55 17 $7,260.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $444.24 17 $7,337.97 $7,337.97 +$77.47
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $419.13 18 $7,337.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.92 18 $6,231.31 $6,231.31 $-1,106.66
(-15.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 18 $6,231.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.37 18 $6,613.75 $6,613.75 +$382.44
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $376.27 18 $6,613.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.60 18 $7,410.52 $7,410.52 +$796.77
(+12.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 18 $7,410.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 18 $8,128.21 $8,128.21 +$717.69
(+9.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $447.05 18 $8,128.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.98 18 $8,708.65 $8,708.65 +$580.44
(+7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $517.91 17 $8,708.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $515.12 17 $8,661.82 $8,661.82 $-46.83
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $571.86 15 $8,661.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $647.11 15 $9,801.66 $9,801.66 +$1,139.84
(+13.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:30am ET $770.80 13 $9,801.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $781.55 13 $9,938.36 $9,938.36 +$136.70
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $715.19 14 $9,938.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $759.21 14 $10,550.07 $10,550.07 +$611.71
(+6.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $939.84 11 $10,550.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.42 11 $11,129.08 $11,129.08 +$579.01
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,116.98 10 $11,129.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 10 $9,998.32 $9,998.32 $-1,130.76
(-10.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $986.00 10 $9,998.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $989.00 10 $10,028.77 $10,028.77 +$30.45
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $916.62 11 $10,028.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $853.66 11 $9,339.91 $9,339.91 $-688.86
(-6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET $879.54 11 $9,339.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.24 11 $10,515.39 $10,515.39 +$1,175.48
(+12.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET $892.26 12 $10,515.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $873.65 12 $10,296.07 $10,296.07 $-219.32
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 13 $10,296.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $882.57 13 $11,609.89 $11,609.89 +$1,313.82
(+12.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $859.09 14 $11,609.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $947.58 14 $12,805.76 $12,805.76 +$1,195.87
(+10.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $912.27 14 $12,805.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $931.65 14 $13,077.87 $13,077.87 +$272.11
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 14 $13,077.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $977.88 14 $14,058.34 $14,058.34 +$980.47
(+7.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET $1,038.77 14 $14,058.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,079.60 14 $14,610.99 $14,610.99 +$552.65
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,610.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,610.99
Total Return: +46.11%
Back to Monday Masher