Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:45:56

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 18.2/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,569
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,929.38
Current Value
$10,359.67
Period P&L
$-569.71
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+0.59%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,834.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-569.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-569.71
Gross Return
-5.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,929.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:40am ET $344.97 32 $10,929.38
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $347.02 32 $10,994.33 $10,994.33 +$64.95
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:10am ET $337.11 33 $10,994.33
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $337.06 33 $10,992.70 $10,992.70 $-1.63
(-0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $338.61 32 $10,992.70
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $327.75 32 $10,640.14 $10,640.14 $-352.56
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $316.08 34 $10,640.14
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.59 34 $10,657.14 $10,657.14 +$17.00
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $311.78 34 $10,657.14
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $306.84 34 $10,488.28 $10,488.28 $-168.86
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $324.17 32 $10,488.28
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $320.19 32 $10,359.67 $10,359.67 $-128.61
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,359.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$359.67
Total Return: +3.60%
Back to Monday Masher