Compendium › Monday Masher › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 10 trades in period

-3.09%
Last Year Return
$11,418.75
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$11,782.60
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 32.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,294
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,782.60
Current Value
$11,418.75
Period P&L
$-363.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-2.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$235,492.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-363.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-363.85
Gross Return
-3.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,782.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:20am ET $95.75 123 $11,782.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.78 123 $11,909.97 $11,909.97 +$127.37
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $96.65 123 $11,909.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.39 123 $11,877.31 $11,877.31 $-32.66
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 10:35am ET $98.23 121 $11,877.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $99.36 121 $12,013.94 $12,013.94 +$136.63
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 10:35am ET $96.58 124 $12,013.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $97.60 124 $12,140.82 $12,140.82 +$126.88
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $105.07 116 $12,140.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $102.51 116 $11,845.01 $11,845.01 $-295.81
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:05am ET $113.88 104 $11,845.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.15 104 $11,769.70 $11,769.70 $-75.31
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET $113.22 104 $11,769.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $111.61 104 $11,602.85 $11,602.85 $-166.85
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $129.71 89 $11,602.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $128.76 89 $11,517.51 $11,517.51 $-85.34
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $125.24 92 $11,517.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.71 92 $11,468.31 $11,468.31 $-49.20
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $128.43 89 $11,468.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.88 89 $11,418.75 $11,418.75 $-49.56
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,418.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,418.75
Total Return: +14.19%
Back to Monday Masher