Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 31.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,211.70
Current Value
$11,667.83
Period P&L
$1,456.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+5.64%
Worst Trade
-0.15%
Avg Trade Return
+2.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,986.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,456.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,456.13
Gross Return
+14.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,211.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $364.62 28 $10,211.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $364.08 28 $10,196.58 $10,196.58 $-15.12
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $358.35 28 $10,196.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.51 28 $10,571.19 $10,571.19 +$374.61
(+3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $382.76 28 $10,571.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $404.36 28 $11,167.89 $11,167.89 +$596.70
(+5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $426.77 26 $11,167.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $443.97 26 $11,617.99 $11,617.99 +$450.10
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:30am ET $377.64 31 $11,617.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.26 31 $11,667.83 $11,667.83 +$49.84
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,667.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,667.83
Total Return: +16.68%
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