Compendium › Monday Masher › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 2 trades in period

-7.78%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,621.93
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$12,602.66
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:36:49

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 37.9/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,602.66
Current Value
$11,621.93
Period P&L
$-980.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-8.44

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-3.50%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
-3.97%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$48,548.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-980.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-980.73
Gross Return
-7.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $12,602.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 48 $12,602.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.91 48 $12,161.76 $12,161.76 $-440.90
(-3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET $237.68 51 $12,161.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.13 51 $11,621.93 $11,621.93 $-539.83
(-4.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,621.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,621.93
Total Return: +16.22%
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