Compendium › Monday Masher › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 7 trades in period

+6.42%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,336.27
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$15,350.31
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 66.1/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 59.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,350.31
Current Value
$16,336.27
Period P&L
$985.96
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+15.24%
Worst Trade
-6.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$221,096.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$985.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$985.96
Gross Return
+6.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $15,350.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $201.80 76 $15,350.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $194.37 76 $14,784.39 $14,784.39 $-565.92
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $182.82 81 $14,784.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.68 81 $17,036.92 $17,036.92 +$2,252.53
(+15.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET $203.71 84 $17,036.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.10 84 $15,982.31 $15,982.31 $-1,054.61
(-6.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $182.15 88 $15,982.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.87 88 $15,957.30 $15,957.30 $-25.01
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $213.73 75 $15,957.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.47 75 $15,863.23 $15,863.23 $-94.07
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:30am ET $226.23 70 $15,863.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $215.07 70 $15,080.69 $15,080.69 $-782.54
(-4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 65 $15,080.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.07 65 $16,336.27 $16,336.27 +$1,255.58
(+8.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,336.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,336.27
Total Return: +63.36%
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