Compendium › Monday Masher › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 7 trades in period

-0.28%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,217.67
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$14,257.08
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:04:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.5/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 60.3/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 51.6

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.5 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,790
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,257.08
Current Value
$14,217.67
Period P&L
$-39.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+4.24%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$196,388.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-39.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-39.41
Gross Return
-0.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,257.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $151.23 94 $14,257.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.77 94 $14,307.99 $14,307.99 +$50.91
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $150.36 95 $14,307.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.55 95 $13,659.96 $13,659.96 $-648.03
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $137.40 99 $13,659.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.74 99 $13,594.35 $13,594.35 $-65.61
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $133.90 102 $13,594.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.58 102 $14,171.02 $14,171.02 +$576.67
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $137.82 103 $14,171.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.53 103 $14,244.54 $14,244.54 +$73.52
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $136.25 105 $14,244.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $133.71 105 $13,978.99 $13,978.99 $-265.55
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.85 108 $13,978.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.05 108 $14,217.67 $14,217.67 +$238.68
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,217.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,217.67
Total Return: +42.18%
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