Compendium › Monday Masher › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 7 trades in period

-1.72%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,309.54
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$16,595.56
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:50:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 67.4/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,774
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,595.56
Current Value
$16,309.54
Period P&L
$-286.02
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+6.40%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$213,218.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-286.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-286.02
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $16,595.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $1,064.47 16 $16,595.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.95 16 $16,197.69 $16,197.69 $-397.87
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,037.38 16 $16,197.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $981.36 16 $15,322.99 $15,322.99 $-874.70
(-5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $980.38 16 $15,322.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $918.08 16 $14,349.19 $14,349.19 $-973.80
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $915.65 16 $14,349.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $899.01 16 $14,088.42 $14,088.42 $-260.77
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $886.85 16 $14,088.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $936.04 16 $14,869.85 $14,869.85 +$781.43
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $926.68 16 $14,869.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $955.28 16 $15,328.70 $15,328.70 +$458.85
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $879.24 17 $15,328.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $935.50 17 $16,309.54 $16,309.54 +$980.84
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,309.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,309.54
Total Return: +63.10%
Back to Monday Masher